Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows the CDU fluctuating between 17% and 22% across major institutes, with the most recent INSA and Civey surveys placing it at 19–20%. This narrow band stems from a competitive four-way contest involving the Left Party (often 19–22%), AfD (16–19%), and Greens (16–19%), alongside modest SPD support and low overall satisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition. The CDU’s July candidate switch to Stefan Evers produced a modest polling rebound after earlier weakness under Kai Wegner, but margins of error near three points and undecided voters sustain volatility. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, as no single trend has yet pulled the CDU clearly above or below the central ranges. Late-campaign events such as turnout shifts, televised debates, or further coalition positioning could widen the gap before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日17〜20% 45%
20〜23％ 45%
23％以上 45%
17％未満 44%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
17％未満
44%
17〜20%
45%
20〜23％
45%
23％以上
45%
17〜20% 45%
20〜23％ 45%
23％以上 45%
17％未満 44%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
17％未満
$0 Vol.
44%
17〜20%
$0 Vol.
45%
20〜23％
$0 Vol.
45%
23％以上
$0 Vol.
45%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows the CDU fluctuating between 17% and 22% across major institutes, with the most recent INSA and Civey surveys placing it at 19–20%. This narrow band stems from a competitive four-way contest involving the Left Party (often 19–22%), AfD (16–19%), and Greens (16–19%), alongside modest SPD support and low overall satisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition. The CDU’s July candidate switch to Stefan Evers produced a modest polling rebound after earlier weakness under Kai Wegner, but margins of error near three points and undecided voters sustain volatility. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, as no single trend has yet pulled the CDU clearly above or below the central ranges. Late-campaign events such as turnout shifts, televised debates, or further coalition positioning could widen the gap before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows the CDU fluctuating between 17% and 22% across major institutes, with the most recent INSA and Civey surveys placing it at 19–20%. This narrow band stems from a competitive four-way contest involving the Left Party (often 19–22%), AfD (16–19%), and Greens (16–19%), alongside modest SPD support and low overall satisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition. The CDU’s July candidate switch to Stefan Evers produced a modest polling rebound after earlier weakness under Kai Wegner, but margins of error near three points and undecided voters sustain volatility. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, as no single trend has yet pulled the CDU clearly above or below the central ranges. Late-campaign events such as turnout shifts, televised debates, or further coalition positioning could widen the gap before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows the CDU fluctuating between 17% and 22% across major institutes, with the most recent INSA and Civey surveys placing it at 19–20%. This narrow band stems from a competitive four-way contest involving the Left Party (often 19–22%), AfD (16–19%), and Greens (16–19%), alongside modest SPD support and low overall satisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition. The CDU’s July candidate switch to Stefan Evers produced a modest polling rebound after earlier weakness under Kai Wegner, but margins of error near three points and undecided voters sustain volatility. Trader consensus reflects this clustering, as no single trend has yet pulled the CDU clearly above or below the central ranges. Late-campaign events such as turnout shifts, televised debates, or further coalition positioning could widen the gap before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問