Count Binface leads the Clacton by-election second-place market at 98.6% implied probability because major UK parties have opted not to field candidates, leaving the novelty Count Binface Party entrant as the highest-profile challenger amid a record 34-candidate field. Media coverage and polling have centered on Binface as the focal anti-Farage option following Nigel Farage’s resignation, with limited organized competition from other independents or minor-party names. Traders view the combination of name recognition, protest dynamics, and vote-splitting among lesser-known contenders as decisive. A stronger-than-expected performance by another novelty candidate or higher turnout among specific local blocs could still alter the ordering before polling on 13 August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日カウント・ビンフェイス 98.6%
ナイジェル・ファラージ <1%
ローレンス・フォックス <1%
ジョン・スティーブンス <1%
$566,782 Vol.
$566,782 Vol.
2026/08/13
カウント・ビンフェイス
99%
ナイジェル・ファラージ
1%
ローレンス・フォックス
1%
ジョン・スティーブンス
<1%
ジャイルズ・ワトリング
<1%
ジョヴァン・オウス・ネポール
<1%
マシュー・ベンシラム
<1%
ナターシャ・オズベン
<1%
トニー・マック
<1%
アンドリュー・ペンバートン
<1%
ピアーズ・コービン
<1%
アドハム・アルカティップ
<1%
リース・カウン
<1%
カイ・スティーブンス
<1%
ルーク・ウォーリー
<1%
ウィリアム・クラウストン
<1%
パメラ・ウォルフォード
<1%
カウント・ビンフェイス 98.6%
ナイジェル・ファラージ <1%
ローレンス・フォックス <1%
ジョン・スティーブンス <1%
$566,782 Vol.
$566,782 Vol.
2026/08/13
カウント・ビンフェイス
$444,894 Vol.
99%
ナイジェル・ファラージ
$64,016 Vol.
1%
ローレンス・フォックス
$12,818 Vol.
1%
ジョン・スティーブンス
$6,215 Vol.
<1%
ジャイルズ・ワトリング
$3,280 Vol.
<1%
ジョヴァン・オウス・ネポール
$2,857 Vol.
<1%
マシュー・ベンシラム
$3,829 Vol.
<1%
ナターシャ・オズベン
$2,862 Vol.
<1%
トニー・マック
$2,457 Vol.
<1%
アンドリュー・ペンバートン
$2,955 Vol.
<1%
ピアーズ・コービン
$1,873 Vol.
<1%
アドハム・アルカティップ
$1,839 Vol.
<1%
リース・カウン
$2,001 Vol.
<1%
カイ・スティーブンス
$2,704 Vol.
<1%
ルーク・ウォーリー
$2,351 Vol.
<1%
ウィリアム・クラウストン
$8,499 Vol.
<1%
パメラ・ウォルフォード
$1,333 Vol.
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Count Binface leads the Clacton by-election second-place market at 98.6% implied probability because major UK parties have opted not to field candidates, leaving the novelty Count Binface Party entrant as the highest-profile challenger amid a record 34-candidate field. Media coverage and polling have centered on Binface as the focal anti-Farage option following Nigel Farage’s resignation, with limited organized competition from other independents or minor-party names. Traders view the combination of name recognition, protest dynamics, and vote-splitting among lesser-known contenders as decisive. A stronger-than-expected performance by another novelty candidate or higher turnout among specific local blocs could still alter the ordering before polling on 13 August.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
マーケット開始日： Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
音量
$566,782終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Count Binface leads the Clacton by-election second-place market at 98.6% implied probability because major UK parties have opted not to field candidates, leaving the novelty Count Binface Party entrant as the highest-profile challenger amid a record 34-candidate field. Media coverage and polling have centered on Binface as the focal anti-Farage option following Nigel Farage’s resignation, with limited organized competition from other independents or minor-party names. Traders view the combination of name recognition, protest dynamics, and vote-splitting among lesser-known contenders as decisive. A stronger-than-expected performance by another novelty candidate or higher turnout among specific local blocs could still alter the ordering before polling on 13 August.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
音量
$566,782終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Count Binface leads the Clacton by-election second-place market at 98.6% implied probability because major UK parties have opted not to field candidates, leaving the novelty Count Binface Party entrant as the highest-profile challenger amid a record 34-candidate field. Media coverage and polling have centered on Binface as the focal anti-Farage option following Nigel Farage’s resignation, with limited organized competition from other independents or minor-party names. Traders view the combination of name recognition, protest dynamics, and vote-splitting among lesser-known contenders as decisive. A stronger-than-expected performance by another novelty candidate or higher turnout among specific local blocs could still alter the ordering before polling on 13 August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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