Tesla's share-price momentum and SpaceX valuation expectations are the dominant drivers behind the 46% market-implied odds for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31. Recent trading has lifted the Tesla stake component of his holdings, while forward-looking bets on a SpaceX IPO or merger at elevated valuations continue to anchor higher-end probabilities. With resolution just two weeks away, modest further gains in TSLA or confirmatory SpaceX funding news could push consensus further toward the top bin, whereas any sharp pullback in electric-vehicle or robotics sentiment risks shifting weight into the 680–690 billion range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日690b+ 56%
680-690b 19%
670-680b 16%
<610b 8.7%
$20,973 Vol.
$20,973 Vol.
2026/05/31
<610b
11%
610-620b
3%
620-630b
8%
630-640b
8%
640-650b
3%
650-660b
8%
660-670b
8%
670-680b
16%
680-690b
19%
690b+
48%
690b+ 56%
680-690b 19%
670-680b 16%
<610b 8.7%
$20,973 Vol.
$20,973 Vol.
2026/05/31
<610b
$2,591 Vol.
11%
610-620b
$1,465 Vol.
3%
620-630b
$1,596 Vol.
8%
630-640b
$1,905 Vol.
8%
640-650b
$2,188 Vol.
3%
650-660b
$1,999 Vol.
8%
660-670b
$1,979 Vol.
8%
670-680b
$1,680 Vol.
16%
680-690b
$1,803 Vol.
19%
690b+
$3,768 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Tesla's share-price momentum and SpaceX valuation expectations are the dominant drivers behind the 46% market-implied odds for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31. Recent trading has lifted the Tesla stake component of his holdings, while forward-looking bets on a SpaceX IPO or merger at elevated valuations continue to anchor higher-end probabilities. With resolution just two weeks away, modest further gains in TSLA or confirmatory SpaceX funding news could push consensus further toward the top bin, whereas any sharp pullback in electric-vehicle or robotics sentiment risks shifting weight into the 680–690 billion range.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
音量
$20,973終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Tesla's share-price momentum and SpaceX valuation expectations are the dominant drivers behind the 46% market-implied odds for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31. Recent trading has lifted the Tesla stake component of his holdings, while forward-looking bets on a SpaceX IPO or merger at elevated valuations continue to anchor higher-end probabilities. With resolution just two weeks away, modest further gains in TSLA or confirmatory SpaceX funding news could push consensus further toward the top bin, whereas any sharp pullback in electric-vehicle or robotics sentiment risks shifting weight into the 680–690 billion range.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
音量
$20,973終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla's share-price momentum and SpaceX valuation expectations are the dominant drivers behind the 46% market-implied odds for Elon Musk's net worth exceeding $690 billion by May 31. Recent trading has lifted the Tesla stake component of his holdings, while forward-looking bets on a SpaceX IPO or merger at elevated valuations continue to anchor higher-end probabilities. With resolution just two weeks away, modest further gains in TSLA or confirmatory SpaceX funding news could push consensus further toward the top bin, whereas any sharp pullback in electric-vehicle or robotics sentiment risks shifting weight into the 680–690 billion range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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