Israel's established practice of intercepting Gaza-bound aid vessels in international waters, as demonstrated by the April 2026 seizure of multiple boats from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete, continues to shape trader assessments. The fleet's recent relaunch in mid-May from Turkish and Greek ports, involving dozens of vessels carrying activists and symbolic supplies, has not altered this pattern, with organizers confirming ongoing navigation toward the region amid active naval monitoring. Historical enforcement of the maritime blockade, combined with the physical distance and short timeline remaining until May 31, supports the current implied probability that the flotilla will not reach Israeli territorial waters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$149,652 Vol.
$149,652 Vol.
2026/05/31
はい
$149,652 Vol.
$149,652 Vol.
2026/05/31
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israel's established practice of intercepting Gaza-bound aid vessels in international waters, as demonstrated by the April 2026 seizure of multiple boats from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete, continues to shape trader assessments. The fleet's recent relaunch in mid-May from Turkish and Greek ports, involving dozens of vessels carrying activists and symbolic supplies, has not altered this pattern, with organizers confirming ongoing navigation toward the region amid active naval monitoring. Historical enforcement of the maritime blockade, combined with the physical distance and short timeline remaining until May 31, supports the current implied probability that the flotilla will not reach Israeli territorial waters.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
音量
$149,652終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israel's established practice of intercepting Gaza-bound aid vessels in international waters, as demonstrated by the April 2026 seizure of multiple boats from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete, continues to shape trader assessments. The fleet's recent relaunch in mid-May from Turkish and Greek ports, involving dozens of vessels carrying activists and symbolic supplies, has not altered this pattern, with organizers confirming ongoing navigation toward the region amid active naval monitoring. Historical enforcement of the maritime blockade, combined with the physical distance and short timeline remaining until May 31, supports the current implied probability that the flotilla will not reach Israeli territorial waters.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$149,652終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's established practice of intercepting Gaza-bound aid vessels in international waters, as demonstrated by the April 2026 seizure of multiple boats from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete, continues to shape trader assessments. The fleet's recent relaunch in mid-May from Turkish and Greek ports, involving dozens of vessels carrying activists and symbolic supplies, has not altered this pattern, with organizers confirming ongoing navigation toward the region amid active naval monitoring. Historical enforcement of the maritime blockade, combined with the physical distance and short timeline remaining until May 31, supports the current implied probability that the flotilla will not reach Israeli territorial waters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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