Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Ankara on September 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting the market's strong 64.5% implied probability on that outcome. A cooling trend from earlier September highs in the low 30s has stabilized around seasonal norms of 24–26°C, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong frontal systems expected to suppress or enhance temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the consensus among global and regional models, including slight upward revisions in some runs, against historical variability where late-month maxima can shift by 2–3°C depending on cloud cover and advection patterns. Official verification will rely on Turkish meteorological station data, with any last-minute model adjustments likely to influence final positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のアンカラの最高気温は？
9月21日のアンカラの最高気温は？
26℃ 64%
25℃ 31%
24℃ 5%
27℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
21℃以下
1%
22°C
1%
23℃
2%
24℃
5%
25℃
31%
26℃
64%
27℃
4%
28℃
2%
29°C
1%
30℃
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
26℃ 64%
25℃ 31%
24℃ 5%
27℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
21℃以下
$89 Vol.
1%
22°C
$191 Vol.
1%
23℃
$551 Vol.
2%
24℃
$859 Vol.
5%
25℃
$962 Vol.
31%
26℃
$4,987 Vol.
64%
27℃
$778 Vol.
4%
28℃
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$445 Vol.
1%
30℃
$125 Vol.
<1%
31℃以上
$211 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Ankara on September 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting the market's strong 64.5% implied probability on that outcome. A cooling trend from earlier September highs in the low 30s has stabilized around seasonal norms of 24–26°C, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong frontal systems expected to suppress or enhance temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the consensus among global and regional models, including slight upward revisions in some runs, against historical variability where late-month maxima can shift by 2–3°C depending on cloud cover and advection patterns. Official verification will rely on Turkish meteorological station data, with any last-minute model adjustments likely to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$9,198終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Ankara on September 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting the market's strong 64.5% implied probability on that outcome. A cooling trend from earlier September highs in the low 30s has stabilized around seasonal norms of 24–26°C, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong frontal systems expected to suppress or enhance temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the consensus among global and regional models, including slight upward revisions in some runs, against historical variability where late-month maxima can shift by 2–3°C depending on cloud cover and advection patterns. Official verification will rely on Turkish meteorological station data, with any last-minute model adjustments likely to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,198終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Ankara on September 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, supporting the market's strong 64.5% implied probability on that outcome. A cooling trend from earlier September highs in the low 30s has stabilized around seasonal norms of 24–26°C, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong frontal systems expected to suppress or enhance temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the consensus among global and regional models, including slight upward revisions in some runs, against historical variability where late-month maxima can shift by 2–3°C depending on cloud cover and advection patterns. Official verification will rely on Turkish meteorological station data, with any last-minute model adjustments likely to influence final positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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