Persistent subtropical high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas produced clear skies and strong daytime heating on August 12, 2026, driving Austin’s official high into the 100–101°F range per National Weather Service observations. This aligns with the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin and exceeds the month’s climatological average high of 97–99°F. Model consensus from prior days had centered on 100–102°F under continued dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, with limited variability in guidance reducing upside or downside risk. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome, such as unexpected Gulf moisture triggering afternoon convection or a shift in the ridge axis, did not materialize, leaving the measured maximum firmly within the dominant interval.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のオースティンの最高気温は？
8月12日のオースティンの最高気温は？
100〜101°F 100.0%
91°F以下 <1%
92～93°F <1%
94〜95°F <1%
$27,285 Vol.
$27,285 Vol.
2026/08/12
91°F以下
いいえ
92～93°F
いいえ
94〜95°F
いいえ
96～97°F
いいえ
98〜99°F
いいえ
100〜101°F
はい
102〜103°F
いいえ
104～105°F
いいえ
106～107°F
いいえ
108〜109°F
いいえ
110°F以上
いいえ
100〜101°F 100.0%
91°F以下 <1%
92～93°F <1%
94〜95°F <1%
$27,285 Vol.
$27,285 Vol.
2026/08/12
91°F以下
$610 Vol.
いいえ
92～93°F
$2,739 Vol.
いいえ
94〜95°F
$2,870 Vol.
いいえ
96～97°F
$1,286 Vol.
いいえ
98〜99°F
$4,084 Vol.
いいえ
100〜101°F
$7,159 Vol.
はい
102〜103°F
$3,182 Vol.
いいえ
104～105°F
$2,101 Vol.
いいえ
106～107°F
$1,694 Vol.
いいえ
108〜109°F
$1,001 Vol.
いいえ
110°F以上
$559 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas produced clear skies and strong daytime heating on August 12, 2026, driving Austin’s official high into the 100–101°F range per National Weather Service observations. This aligns with the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin and exceeds the month’s climatological average high of 97–99°F. Model consensus from prior days had centered on 100–102°F under continued dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, with limited variability in guidance reducing upside or downside risk. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome, such as unexpected Gulf moisture triggering afternoon convection or a shift in the ridge axis, did not materialize, leaving the measured maximum firmly within the dominant interval.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$27,285終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas produced clear skies and strong daytime heating on August 12, 2026, driving Austin’s official high into the 100–101°F range per National Weather Service observations. This aligns with the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin and exceeds the month’s climatological average high of 97–99°F. Model consensus from prior days had centered on 100–102°F under continued dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, with limited variability in guidance reducing upside or downside risk. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome, such as unexpected Gulf moisture triggering afternoon convection or a shift in the ridge axis, did not materialize, leaving the measured maximum firmly within the dominant interval.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$27,285終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Persistent subtropical high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas produced clear skies and strong daytime heating on August 12, 2026, driving Austin’s official high into the 100–101°F range per National Weather Service observations. This aligns with the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin and exceeds the month’s climatological average high of 97–99°F. Model consensus from prior days had centered on 100–102°F under continued dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, with limited variability in guidance reducing upside or downside risk. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome, such as unexpected Gulf moisture triggering afternoon convection or a shift in the ridge axis, did not materialize, leaving the measured maximum firmly within the dominant interval.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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