Short-term forecasts from regional models point to overcast skies and scattered showers or thundershowers over Busan on July 4, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a coastal sea-breeze regime that caps afternoon heating. These conditions favor peak temperatures clustered around 26–28 °C, where subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind convergence determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, yet the current pattern’s suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation keep trader consensus tightly focused on the mid-20s outcomes. Final Korea Meteorological Administration updates and morning model runs before resolution remain the key variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Busan on July 4?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 4?
27°C 33%
28°C 23%
26°C 22%
29°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/07/04
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
22%
27°C
33%
28°C
23%
29°C
13%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 33%
28°C 23%
26°C 22%
29°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/07/04
21°C or below
$472 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$63 Vol.
1%
24°C
$158 Vol.
4%
25°C
$26 Vol.
7%
26°C
$129 Vol.
22%
27°C
$338 Vol.
33%
28°C
$569 Vol.
23%
29°C
$96 Vol.
13%
30°C
$19 Vol.
5%
31°C or higher
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from regional models point to overcast skies and scattered showers or thundershowers over Busan on July 4, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a coastal sea-breeze regime that caps afternoon heating. These conditions favor peak temperatures clustered around 26–28 °C, where subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind convergence determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, yet the current pattern’s suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation keep trader consensus tightly focused on the mid-20s outcomes. Final Korea Meteorological Administration updates and morning model runs before resolution remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$2,014終了日
2026/07/04マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from regional models point to overcast skies and scattered showers or thundershowers over Busan on July 4, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a coastal sea-breeze regime that caps afternoon heating. These conditions favor peak temperatures clustered around 26–28 °C, where subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind convergence determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, yet the current pattern’s suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation keep trader consensus tightly focused on the mid-20s outcomes. Final Korea Meteorological Administration updates and morning model runs before resolution remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,014終了日
2026/07/04マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETShort-term forecasts from regional models point to overcast skies and scattered showers or thundershowers over Busan on July 4, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a coastal sea-breeze regime that caps afternoon heating. These conditions favor peak temperatures clustered around 26–28 °C, where subtle differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind convergence determine whether the daily maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that narrow range. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, yet the current pattern’s suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation keep trader consensus tightly focused on the mid-20s outcomes. Final Korea Meteorological Administration updates and morning model runs before resolution remain the key variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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