Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a lingering heat dome influence over the Midwest, supporting daily highs near or slightly above the 85°F July normal for Chicago on July 17. Ensemble model runs show modest variability tied to cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day lake breeze effects, keeping the most probable range between 88–91°F. Historical mid-July analogs and current 6–10 day outlooks reinforce above-average temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 94°F, while NWS verification metrics highlight typical 2–4°F uncertainty in 24-hour maximum forecasts. Traders appear to weight the consensus central tendency most heavily, with smaller probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter outliers pending the next model update cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月17日のシカゴの最高気温は？
7月17日のシカゴの最高気温は？
90-91°F 33%
88-89°F 32%
92-93°F 18%
87°F or below 18%
新規
新規
2026/07/17
87°F or below
18%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
33%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 33%
88-89°F 32%
92-93°F 18%
87°F or below 18%
新規
新規
2026/07/17
87°F or below
$130 Vol.
18%
88-89°F
$88 Vol.
32%
90-91°F
$67 Vol.
33%
92-93°F
$78 Vol.
18%
94-95°F
$43 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$385 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$38 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,218 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$148 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$143 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$38 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a lingering heat dome influence over the Midwest, supporting daily highs near or slightly above the 85°F July normal for Chicago on July 17. Ensemble model runs show modest variability tied to cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day lake breeze effects, keeping the most probable range between 88–91°F. Historical mid-July analogs and current 6–10 day outlooks reinforce above-average temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 94°F, while NWS verification metrics highlight typical 2–4°F uncertainty in 24-hour maximum forecasts. Traders appear to weight the consensus central tendency most heavily, with smaller probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter outliers pending the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$2,376終了日
2026/07/17マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a lingering heat dome influence over the Midwest, supporting daily highs near or slightly above the 85°F July normal for Chicago on July 17. Ensemble model runs show modest variability tied to cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day lake breeze effects, keeping the most probable range between 88–91°F. Historical mid-July analogs and current 6–10 day outlooks reinforce above-average temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 94°F, while NWS verification metrics highlight typical 2–4°F uncertainty in 24-hour maximum forecasts. Traders appear to weight the consensus central tendency most heavily, with smaller probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter outliers pending the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,376終了日
2026/07/17マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a lingering heat dome influence over the Midwest, supporting daily highs near or slightly above the 85°F July normal for Chicago on July 17. Ensemble model runs show modest variability tied to cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day lake breeze effects, keeping the most probable range between 88–91°F. Historical mid-July analogs and current 6–10 day outlooks reinforce above-average temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 94°F, while NWS verification metrics highlight typical 2–4°F uncertainty in 24-hour maximum forecasts. Traders appear to weight the consensus central tendency most heavily, with smaller probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter outliers pending the next model update cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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