Current forecasts from NHC and NWS guidance point to an overnight low near 74–77°F in NYC on July 17, driven by a post-heatwave pattern with moderate southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Model consensus shows subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention that could shift the minimum by 2–3°F, keeping the 72–75°F bins tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology for Central Park places average lows near 70°F, so any strengthening high-pressure ridge or unexpected northerly shift would favor the lower 70–71°F outcome while persistent humidity would support the upper side. The next NWS update and 00Z model runs tonight represent the key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月17日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
7月17日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
64～65°F 55%
72〜73°F 36%
74〜75°F 36%
70～71°F 36%
新規
新規
2026/07/17
華氏63度以下
9%
64～65°F
55%
66〜67°F
32%
68～69°F
33%
70～71°F
36%
72〜73°F
36%
74〜75°F
36%
76〜77°F
36%
78～79°F
33%
80〜81°F
28%
82°F以上
1%
64～65°F 55%
72〜73°F 36%
74〜75°F 36%
70～71°F 36%
新規
新規
2026/07/17
華氏63度以下
$37 Vol.
9%
64～65°F
$37 Vol.
55%
66〜67°F
$5 Vol.
32%
68～69°F
$0 Vol.
33%
70～71°F
$0 Vol.
36%
72〜73°F
$0 Vol.
36%
74〜75°F
$0 Vol.
36%
76〜77°F
$0 Vol.
36%
78～79°F
$0 Vol.
33%
80〜81°F
$15 Vol.
28%
82°F以上
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NHC and NWS guidance point to an overnight low near 74–77°F in NYC on July 17, driven by a post-heatwave pattern with moderate southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Model consensus shows subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention that could shift the minimum by 2–3°F, keeping the 72–75°F bins tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology for Central Park places average lows near 70°F, so any strengthening high-pressure ridge or unexpected northerly shift would favor the lower 70–71°F outcome while persistent humidity would support the upper side. The next NWS update and 00Z model runs tonight represent the key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$121終了日
2026/07/17マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NHC and NWS guidance point to an overnight low near 74–77°F in NYC on July 17, driven by a post-heatwave pattern with moderate southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Model consensus shows subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention that could shift the minimum by 2–3°F, keeping the 72–75°F bins tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology for Central Park places average lows near 70°F, so any strengthening high-pressure ridge or unexpected northerly shift would favor the lower 70–71°F outcome while persistent humidity would support the upper side. The next NWS update and 00Z model runs tonight represent the key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$121終了日
2026/07/17マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETCurrent forecasts from NHC and NWS guidance point to an overnight low near 74–77°F in NYC on July 17, driven by a post-heatwave pattern with moderate southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Model consensus shows subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention that could shift the minimum by 2–3°F, keeping the 72–75°F bins tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology for Central Park places average lows near 70°F, so any strengthening high-pressure ridge or unexpected northerly shift would favor the lower 70–71°F outcome while persistent humidity would support the upper side. The next NWS update and 00Z model runs tonight represent the key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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