Recent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service points to a warm, humid airmass over the Northeast, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected due to high dew points and possible cloud cover or scattered showers on July 16. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, where small variations in timing of any clearing, wind speeds, or urban heat retention can shift the daily low by several degrees across forecast bins. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation placement, keeping probabilities clustered around 76–85°F ranges while limiting odds for sub-72°F or extreme highs above 86°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月16日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
7月16日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
74〜75°F 25%
78〜79°F 21%
80〜81°F 21%
76〜77°F 20%
新規
新規
2026/07/16
71°F以下
15%
72〜73°F
19%
74〜75°F
25%
76〜77°F
20%
78〜79°F
21%
80〜81°F
21%
82〜83°F
20%
84〜85°F
19%
86～87°F
2%
88～89°F
1%
90°F以上
1%
74〜75°F 25%
78〜79°F 21%
80〜81°F 21%
76〜77°F 20%
新規
新規
2026/07/16
71°F以下
$20 Vol.
15%
72〜73°F
$0 Vol.
19%
74〜75°F
$0 Vol.
25%
76〜77°F
$0 Vol.
20%
78〜79°F
$0 Vol.
21%
80〜81°F
$0 Vol.
21%
82〜83°F
$0 Vol.
20%
84〜85°F
$0 Vol.
19%
86～87°F
$225 Vol.
2%
88～89°F
$172 Vol.
1%
90°F以上
$175 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service points to a warm, humid airmass over the Northeast, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected due to high dew points and possible cloud cover or scattered showers on July 16. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, where small variations in timing of any clearing, wind speeds, or urban heat retention can shift the daily low by several degrees across forecast bins. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation placement, keeping probabilities clustered around 76–85°F ranges while limiting odds for sub-72°F or extreme highs above 86°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$591終了日
2026/07/16マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service points to a warm, humid airmass over the Northeast, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected due to high dew points and possible cloud cover or scattered showers on July 16. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, where small variations in timing of any clearing, wind speeds, or urban heat retention can shift the daily low by several degrees across forecast bins. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation placement, keeping probabilities clustered around 76–85°F ranges while limiting odds for sub-72°F or extreme highs above 86°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$591終了日
2026/07/16マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service points to a warm, humid airmass over the Northeast, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected due to high dew points and possible cloud cover or scattered showers on July 16. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, where small variations in timing of any clearing, wind speeds, or urban heat retention can shift the daily low by several degrees across forecast bins. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation placement, keeping probabilities clustered around 76–85°F ranges while limiting odds for sub-72°F or extreme highs above 86°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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