Avengers: Doomsday holds overwhelming market-implied odds near 95% to outgross Dune: Part Three on opening weekend due to its franchise event status and record-setting advance ticket sales. Pre-sales have already surpassed $35 million domestically, tracking the MCU crossover for a $260–300 million debut fueled by Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers' return, and an expansive cast blending Avengers with X-Men and Fantastic Four elements. Dune: Part Three benefits from strong IMAX 70mm demand and early buzz around Denis Villeneuve's conclusion to the trilogy, positioning it for a franchise-best $100 million-plus frame, yet historical Avengers openings and broader audience awareness create a steep gap. The December 18 clash, dubbed Dunesday, features format splits that may soften direct competition, though any late review shifts or marketing surges could narrow the margin before holiday tracking firms up.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日デューン3またはアベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイは初週末にさらにグロスになりますか？
デューン3またはアベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイは初週末にさらにグロスになりますか？
デューン3
5% 確率
$53,378 Vol.
$53,378 Vol.
2026/12/19
デューン3
5% 確率
$53,378 Vol.
$53,378 Vol.
2026/12/19
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.Avengers: Doomsday holds overwhelming market-implied odds near 95% to outgross Dune: Part Three on opening weekend due to its franchise event status and record-setting advance ticket sales. Pre-sales have already surpassed $35 million domestically, tracking the MCU crossover for a $260–300 million debut fueled by Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers' return, and an expansive cast blending Avengers with X-Men and Fantastic Four elements. Dune: Part Three benefits from strong IMAX 70mm demand and early buzz around Denis Villeneuve's conclusion to the trilogy, positioning it for a franchise-best $100 million-plus frame, yet historical Avengers openings and broader audience awareness create a steep gap. The December 18 clash, dubbed Dunesday, features format splits that may soften direct competition, though any late review shifts or marketing surges could narrow the margin before holiday tracking firms up.
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
マーケット開始日： Jan 5, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
音量
$53,378終了日
2026/12/20マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 5:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.Avengers: Doomsday holds overwhelming market-implied odds near 95% to outgross Dune: Part Three on opening weekend due to its franchise event status and record-setting advance ticket sales. Pre-sales have already surpassed $35 million domestically, tracking the MCU crossover for a $260–300 million debut fueled by Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers' return, and an expansive cast blending Avengers with X-Men and Fantastic Four elements. Dune: Part Three benefits from strong IMAX 70mm demand and early buzz around Denis Villeneuve's conclusion to the trilogy, positioning it for a franchise-best $100 million-plus frame, yet historical Avengers openings and broader audience awareness create a steep gap. The December 18 clash, dubbed Dunesday, features format splits that may soften direct competition, though any late review shifts or marketing surges could narrow the margin before holiday tracking firms up.
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
音量
$53,378終了日
2026/12/20マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 5:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Avengers: Doomsday holds overwhelming market-implied odds near 95% to outgross Dune: Part Three on opening weekend due to its franchise event status and record-setting advance ticket sales. Pre-sales have already surpassed $35 million domestically, tracking the MCU crossover for a $260–300 million debut fueled by Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers' return, and an expansive cast blending Avengers with X-Men and Fantastic Four elements. Dune: Part Three benefits from strong IMAX 70mm demand and early buzz around Denis Villeneuve's conclusion to the trilogy, positioning it for a franchise-best $100 million-plus frame, yet historical Avengers openings and broader audience awareness create a steep gap. The December 18 clash, dubbed Dunesday, features format splits that may soften direct competition, though any late review shifts or marketing surges could narrow the margin before holiday tracking firms up.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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