Current National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to a high near 93°F on July 16 under mostly sunny skies with heat indices exceeding 105°F, aligning with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome at 47% implied probability. Subtropical high pressure and elevated Atlantic sea surface temperatures sustain typical midsummer warmth, while afternoon sea breezes and scattered convection often cap daily peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent hazy conditions and ongoing heat advisories have reinforced trader consensus around this range, with limited model spread for the next 24 hours reducing chances of significant deviation to 96°F or above.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月16日のマイアミの最高気温は?
94~95°F 52%
92~93°F 28%
96〜97°F 20.1%
98〜99°F 5.5%
87°F以下
1%
88〜89°F
1%
90〜91°F
5%
92~93°F
28%
94~95°F
52%
96〜97°F
20%
98〜99°F
6%
100〜101°F
1%
102〜103°F
1%
104〜105°F
<1%
106°F以上
1%
94~95°F 52%
92~93°F 28%
96〜97°F 20.1%
98〜99°F 5.5%
87°F以下
1%
88〜89°F
1%
90〜91°F
5%
92~93°F
28%
94~95°F
52%
96〜97°F
20%
98〜99°F
6%
100〜101°F
1%
102〜103°F
1%
104〜105°F
<1%
106°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to a high near 93°F on July 16 under mostly sunny skies with heat indices exceeding 105°F, aligning with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome at 47% implied probability. Subtropical high pressure and elevated Atlantic sea surface temperatures sustain typical midsummer warmth, while afternoon sea breezes and scattered convection often cap daily peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent hazy conditions and ongoing heat advisories have reinforced trader consensus around this range, with limited model spread for the next 24 hours reducing chances of significant deviation to 96°F or above.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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