Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent marine layer and fresh onshore flow moderating San Francisco’s July 17 high, keeping the most likely peak in the mid-60s. The depth and timing of coastal stratus, combined with the strength of the afternoon sea breeze, will determine whether temperatures settle near 64–65 °F or edge into the upper 60s; stronger northwest winds and a deeper inversion favor the cooler outcomes now favored by traders, while any temporary marine-layer erosion could allow brief warming toward 68–69 °F. These near-term variables explain the tight clustering around 66–67 °F at roughly 30 % implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月17日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
7月17日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
66～67°F 35%
64〜65°F 33%
70～71°F 11%
68～69°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/07/17
55°F以下
<1%
56～57°F
1%
58〜59°F
5%
60〜61°F
9%
62〜63°F
9%
64〜65°F
33%
66～67°F
35%
68～69°F
10%
70～71°F
11%
72〜73°F
3%
華氏74度以上
<1%
66～67°F 35%
64〜65°F 33%
70～71°F 11%
68～69°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/07/17
55°F以下
$85 Vol.
<1%
56～57°F
$20 Vol.
1%
58〜59°F
$0 Vol.
5%
60〜61°F
$0 Vol.
9%
62〜63°F
$28 Vol.
9%
64〜65°F
$38 Vol.
33%
66～67°F
$54 Vol.
35%
68～69°F
$11 Vol.
10%
70～71°F
$0 Vol.
11%
72〜73°F
$6 Vol.
3%
華氏74度以上
$409 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent marine layer and fresh onshore flow moderating San Francisco’s July 17 high, keeping the most likely peak in the mid-60s. The depth and timing of coastal stratus, combined with the strength of the afternoon sea breeze, will determine whether temperatures settle near 64–65 °F or edge into the upper 60s; stronger northwest winds and a deeper inversion favor the cooler outcomes now favored by traders, while any temporary marine-layer erosion could allow brief warming toward 68–69 °F. These near-term variables explain the tight clustering around 66–67 °F at roughly 30 % implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
音量
$647終了日
2026/07/17マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent marine layer and fresh onshore flow moderating San Francisco’s July 17 high, keeping the most likely peak in the mid-60s. The depth and timing of coastal stratus, combined with the strength of the afternoon sea breeze, will determine whether temperatures settle near 64–65 °F or edge into the upper 60s; stronger northwest winds and a deeper inversion favor the cooler outcomes now favored by traders, while any temporary marine-layer erosion could allow brief warming toward 68–69 °F. These near-term variables explain the tight clustering around 66–67 °F at roughly 30 % implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$647終了日
2026/07/17マーケット開始日
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent marine layer and fresh onshore flow moderating San Francisco’s July 17 high, keeping the most likely peak in the mid-60s. The depth and timing of coastal stratus, combined with the strength of the afternoon sea breeze, will determine whether temperatures settle near 64–65 °F or edge into the upper 60s; stronger northwest winds and a deeper inversion favor the cooler outcomes now favored by traders, while any temporary marine-layer erosion could allow brief warming toward 68–69 °F. These near-term variables explain the tight clustering around 66–67 °F at roughly 30 % implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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