Current numerical weather models for Panama City point to an afternoon peak near 34°C on July 17, with modest upside risk to 35°C under typical July ITCZ conditions featuring scattered convection and high humidity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these outcomes because historical July maxima average near 30–31°C while short-term forecasts allow brief clear spells that can push readings 3–4°C higher before afternoon thunderstorms develop. Key differentiating variables include exact timing of cloud cover and sea-breeze onset, which can suppress or permit the final 1°C increment; latest model runs show only minor spread on these details, keeping 34°C and 35°C probabilities nearly even ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月17日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
34°C 35%
35℃ 31%
33℃ 22%
32℃ 13%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32℃
13%
33℃
22%
34°C
35%
35℃
31%
36°C
5%
37°C以上
3%
34°C 35%
35℃ 31%
33℃ 22%
32℃ 13%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32℃
13%
33℃
22%
34°C
35%
35℃
31%
36°C
5%
37°C以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 15, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather models for Panama City point to an afternoon peak near 34°C on July 17, with modest upside risk to 35°C under typical July ITCZ conditions featuring scattered convection and high humidity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these outcomes because historical July maxima average near 30–31°C while short-term forecasts allow brief clear spells that can push readings 3–4°C higher before afternoon thunderstorms develop. Key differentiating variables include exact timing of cloud cover and sea-breeze onset, which can suppress or permit the final 1°C increment; latest model runs show only minor spread on these details, keeping 34°C and 35°C probabilities nearly even ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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