Traders see near-even odds between 33°C and 34°C for Panama City’s July 15 maximum because official forecasts, including the Met Office projection of 33°C daytime highs, place the outcome at the upper end of the typical July range of 29–33.7°C. The Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that caps extreme heating, keeping most days near the 31°C climatological average while allowing brief clear periods to push readings 1–2°C higher. Recent model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, so resolution hinges on exact timing of showers and insolation rather than broader seasonal shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月15日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
33℃ 34%
34℃ 34%
32°C 16%
35°C 10.4%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
16%
33℃
34%
34℃
34%
35°C
10%
36°C以上
10%
33℃ 34%
34℃ 34%
32°C 16%
35°C 10.4%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
16%
33℃
34%
34℃
34%
35°C
10%
36°C以上
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see near-even odds between 33°C and 34°C for Panama City’s July 15 maximum because official forecasts, including the Met Office projection of 33°C daytime highs, place the outcome at the upper end of the typical July range of 29–33.7°C. The Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that caps extreme heating, keeping most days near the 31°C climatological average while allowing brief clear periods to push readings 1–2°C higher. Recent model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, so resolution hinges on exact timing of showers and insolation rather than broader seasonal shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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