Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight subtropical high-pressure variability and potential afternoon convection as the main drivers keeping trader focus on 25–27°C outcomes for Chongqing’s August 3 maximum, with 26°C leading at 32% implied probability. Persistent monsoon moisture and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, while historical August baselines of 34–38°C underscore the role of short-term steering patterns in suppressing peaks. Upcoming 48-hour model updates and official station observations will refine resolution criteria, as even modest cloud cover or timing shifts could tip the daily high between adjacent bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日の重慶の最高気温は？
8月3日の重慶の最高気温は？
26℃ 31%
27°C 24%
25℃ 18%
28℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
23°C以下
5%
24℃
8%
25℃
18%
26℃
31%
27°C
24%
28℃
10%
29℃
6%
30℃
3%
31°C
2%
32℃
2%
33℃以上
<1%
26℃ 31%
27°C 24%
25℃ 18%
28℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
23°C以下
$1,311 Vol.
5%
24℃
$25 Vol.
8%
25℃
$20 Vol.
18%
26℃
$52 Vol.
31%
27°C
$213 Vol.
24%
28℃
$95 Vol.
10%
29℃
$6 Vol.
6%
30℃
$61 Vol.
3%
31°C
$40 Vol.
2%
32℃
$15 Vol.
2%
33℃以上
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight subtropical high-pressure variability and potential afternoon convection as the main drivers keeping trader focus on 25–27°C outcomes for Chongqing’s August 3 maximum, with 26°C leading at 32% implied probability. Persistent monsoon moisture and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, while historical August baselines of 34–38°C underscore the role of short-term steering patterns in suppressing peaks. Upcoming 48-hour model updates and official station observations will refine resolution criteria, as even modest cloud cover or timing shifts could tip the daily high between adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$1,883終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight subtropical high-pressure variability and potential afternoon convection as the main drivers keeping trader focus on 25–27°C outcomes for Chongqing’s August 3 maximum, with 26°C leading at 32% implied probability. Persistent monsoon moisture and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, while historical August baselines of 34–38°C underscore the role of short-term steering patterns in suppressing peaks. Upcoming 48-hour model updates and official station observations will refine resolution criteria, as even modest cloud cover or timing shifts could tip the daily high between adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,883終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight subtropical high-pressure variability and potential afternoon convection as the main drivers keeping trader focus on 25–27°C outcomes for Chongqing’s August 3 maximum, with 26°C leading at 32% implied probability. Persistent monsoon moisture and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, while historical August baselines of 34–38°C underscore the role of short-term steering patterns in suppressing peaks. Upcoming 48-hour model updates and official station observations will refine resolution criteria, as even modest cloud cover or timing shifts could tip the daily high between adjacent bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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