**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 5 maximum temperature reflects high short-term forecast uncertainty within the city's typical July climatology.** Official guidance and model consensus point to highs centered on 22–25°C, driven by the peak North American monsoon period that favors afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These storms often limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, though morning sunshine or delayed precipitation can allow brief excursions to 25–26°C. Recent model runs show light northeasterly flow and scattered showers, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around the historical July average of ~23–24°C. Resolution hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any revisions in the next 24–48 hours from agencies like Mexico's SMN.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 5?
23°C 27%
24°C 25%
25°C 22%
22°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/07/05
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
23%
24°C
25%
25°C
22%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
3%
23°C 27%
24°C 25%
25°C 22%
22°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/07/05
17°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$37 Vol.
3%
22°C
$2 Vol.
8%
23°C
$7 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
6%
27°C or higher
$12 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 5 maximum temperature reflects high short-term forecast uncertainty within the city's typical July climatology.** Official guidance and model consensus point to highs centered on 22–25°C, driven by the peak North American monsoon period that favors afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These storms often limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, though morning sunshine or delayed precipitation can allow brief excursions to 25–26°C. Recent model runs show light northeasterly flow and scattered showers, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around the historical July average of ~23–24°C. Resolution hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any revisions in the next 24–48 hours from agencies like Mexico's SMN.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$108終了日
2026/07/05マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 5 maximum temperature reflects high short-term forecast uncertainty within the city's typical July climatology.** Official guidance and model consensus point to highs centered on 22–25°C, driven by the peak North American monsoon period that favors afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These storms often limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, though morning sunshine or delayed precipitation can allow brief excursions to 25–26°C. Recent model runs show light northeasterly flow and scattered showers, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around the historical July average of ~23–24°C. Resolution hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any revisions in the next 24–48 hours from agencies like Mexico's SMN.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$108終了日
2026/07/05マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 5 maximum temperature reflects high short-term forecast uncertainty within the city's typical July climatology.** Official guidance and model consensus point to highs centered on 22–25°C, driven by the peak North American monsoon period that favors afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms at the city's 2,240 m elevation. These storms often limit peak heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, though morning sunshine or delayed precipitation can allow brief excursions to 25–26°C. Recent model runs show light northeasterly flow and scattered showers, keeping outcomes tightly clustered around the historical July average of ~23–24°C. Resolution hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any revisions in the next 24–48 hours from agencies like Mexico's SMN.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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