Latest numerical weather prediction models from Russia's Hydrometcenter and international ensembles show Moscow's May 22 high centering near 29°C amid a warm southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong trader consensus around the 28–30°C band, where minor differences in afternoon convective timing or cloud cover could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Historical May averages hover near 18–20°C, making the current anomaly notable yet within the upper end of climatological variability for late spring. With resolution based on official Sheremetyevo station observations, any last-minute forecast adjustments from updated model runs tonight will likely determine whether the market tilts further toward 29°C or sustains the close spread among adjacent outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on May 22?
29°C 30%
28°C 25%
30°C 22%
27°C 13%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
25%
29°C
30%
30°C
22%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 30%
28°C 25%
30°C 22%
27°C 13%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
25%
29°C
30%
30°C
22%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from Russia's Hydrometcenter and international ensembles show Moscow's May 22 high centering near 29°C amid a warm southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong trader consensus around the 28–30°C band, where minor differences in afternoon convective timing or cloud cover could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Historical May averages hover near 18–20°C, making the current anomaly notable yet within the upper end of climatological variability for late spring. With resolution based on official Sheremetyevo station observations, any last-minute forecast adjustments from updated model runs tonight will likely determine whether the market tilts further toward 29°C or sustains the close spread among adjacent outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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