Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like NIWA and MetService show Wellington under persistent southerly flow and extensive cloud cover on May 21, limiting daytime warming and anchoring the highest temperature near the seasonal average of 14–16°C. This setup creates a narrow contest between 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with modest differences in wind speed and solar insolation determining whether readings briefly reach the upper threshold. Overcast conditions and a stable marine layer have kept surface temperatures from exceeding historical May maxima, while any late-day clearing could push the peak marginally higher, explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities for these two results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
17°C 58%
16°C 42%
19°C 1.1%
18°C 1.0%
新規
$45,939 Vol.
新規
$45,939 Vol.
2026/05/21
16°C
42%
17°C
47%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 58%
16°C 42%
19°C 1.1%
18°C 1.0%
新規
$45,939 Vol.
新規
$45,939 Vol.
2026/05/21
16°C
$2,227 Vol.
42%
17°C
$2,103 Vol.
47%
18°C
$1,878 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,828 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$848 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like NIWA and MetService show Wellington under persistent southerly flow and extensive cloud cover on May 21, limiting daytime warming and anchoring the highest temperature near the seasonal average of 14–16°C. This setup creates a narrow contest between 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with modest differences in wind speed and solar insolation determining whether readings briefly reach the upper threshold. Overcast conditions and a stable marine layer have kept surface temperatures from exceeding historical May maxima, while any late-day clearing could push the peak marginally higher, explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities for these two results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$45,939終了日
2026/05/21マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like NIWA and MetService show Wellington under persistent southerly flow and extensive cloud cover on May 21, limiting daytime warming and anchoring the highest temperature near the seasonal average of 14–16°C. This setup creates a narrow contest between 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with modest differences in wind speed and solar insolation determining whether readings briefly reach the upper threshold. Overcast conditions and a stable marine layer have kept surface temperatures from exceeding historical May maxima, while any late-day clearing could push the peak marginally higher, explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities for these two results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$45,939終了日
2026/05/21マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETRecent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like NIWA and MetService show Wellington under persistent southerly flow and extensive cloud cover on May 21, limiting daytime warming and anchoring the highest temperature near the seasonal average of 14–16°C. This setup creates a narrow contest between 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with modest differences in wind speed and solar insolation determining whether readings briefly reach the upper threshold. Overcast conditions and a stable marine layer have kept surface temperatures from exceeding historical May maxima, while any late-day clearing could push the peak marginally higher, explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities for these two results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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