National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s for Seattle on May 22 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly flow. This pattern aligns with seasonal mid-May climatology, where average highs reach 65–68°F at Sea-Tac, yet recent model runs show reduced marine-layer influence and stronger subsidence warming that elevates temperatures well above the 64°F threshold. Trader consensus at 96.9% for 64°F or higher reflects these stable signals, though an unexpected onshore shift or coastal stratus could cap readings in the upper 50s and introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates on May 21.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
64°F or higher 95.5%
62-63°F 3.9%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
新規
$33,317 Vol.
新規
$33,317 Vol.
2026/05/22
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
4%
64°F or higher
96%
64°F or higher 95.5%
62-63°F 3.9%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
新規
$33,317 Vol.
新規
$33,317 Vol.
2026/05/22
45°F or below
$952 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$6,319 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$6,560 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$6,898 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$455 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$455 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$6,455 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$455 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$659 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,042 Vol.
4%
64°F or higher
$3,066 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s for Seattle on May 22 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly flow. This pattern aligns with seasonal mid-May climatology, where average highs reach 65–68°F at Sea-Tac, yet recent model runs show reduced marine-layer influence and stronger subsidence warming that elevates temperatures well above the 64°F threshold. Trader consensus at 96.9% for 64°F or higher reflects these stable signals, though an unexpected onshore shift or coastal stratus could cap readings in the upper 50s and introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates on May 21.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$33,317終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s for Seattle on May 22 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly flow. This pattern aligns with seasonal mid-May climatology, where average highs reach 65–68°F at Sea-Tac, yet recent model runs show reduced marine-layer influence and stronger subsidence warming that elevates temperatures well above the 64°F threshold. Trader consensus at 96.9% for 64°F or higher reflects these stable signals, though an unexpected onshore shift or coastal stratus could cap readings in the upper 50s and introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates on May 21.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$33,317終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s for Seattle on May 22 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly flow. This pattern aligns with seasonal mid-May climatology, where average highs reach 65–68°F at Sea-Tac, yet recent model runs show reduced marine-layer influence and stronger subsidence warming that elevates temperatures well above the 64°F threshold. Trader consensus at 96.9% for 64°F or higher reflects these stable signals, though an unexpected onshore shift or coastal stratus could cap readings in the upper 50s and introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates on May 21.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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