Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicates a passing frontal system will bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers to Tokyo on May 22, suppressing daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 17°C. Ensemble runs show limited variability around this value, with historical May climatology placing average highs near 23°C, underscoring the transient cool anomaly. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction outputs over longer-term seasonal norms, while monitoring any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 22?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 22?
17°C 39%
16°C 24%
18°C 24%
15°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/05/22
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
24%
17°C
39%
18°C
24%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 39%
16°C 24%
18°C 24%
15°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/05/22
11°C or below
$210 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$411 Vol.
1%
14°C
$275 Vol.
2%
15°C
$383 Vol.
8%
16°C
$333 Vol.
24%
17°C
$436 Vol.
39%
18°C
$309 Vol.
24%
19°C
$135 Vol.
6%
20°C
$155 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$257 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicates a passing frontal system will bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers to Tokyo on May 22, suppressing daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 17°C. Ensemble runs show limited variability around this value, with historical May climatology placing average highs near 23°C, underscoring the transient cool anomaly. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction outputs over longer-term seasonal norms, while monitoring any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$2,773終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicates a passing frontal system will bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers to Tokyo on May 22, suppressing daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 17°C. Ensemble runs show limited variability around this value, with historical May climatology placing average highs near 23°C, underscoring the transient cool anomaly. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction outputs over longer-term seasonal norms, while monitoring any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,773終了日
2026/05/22マーケット開始日
May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicates a passing frontal system will bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers to Tokyo on May 22, suppressing daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 17°C. Ensemble runs show limited variability around this value, with historical May climatology placing average highs near 23°C, underscoring the transient cool anomaly. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction outputs over longer-term seasonal norms, while monitoring any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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