Recent forecasts show Shanghai under the influence of the Meiyu plum rain season, with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar insolation and keep maximum temperatures centered on 28–29°C for June 18. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because even modest shifts in convective timing or cloud thickness can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C. Numerical weather models currently align on this range, though forecasters note typical June variability and the sensitivity of urban heat retention to brief clear spells. Trader consensus thus reflects high uncertainty between 27°C and 29°C while assigning low probability to extremes above 30°C or below 27°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
28°C 38%
29°C 32%
27°C 26%
30°C 4.5%
新規
$35,255 Vol.
新規
$35,255 Vol.
2026/06/18
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
26%
28°C
38%
29°C
32%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
29°C 32%
27°C 26%
30°C 4.5%
新規
$35,255 Vol.
新規
$35,255 Vol.
2026/06/18
24°C or below
$3,249 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,350 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5,602 Vol.
2%
27°C
$7,247 Vol.
26%
28°C
$3,976 Vol.
38%
29°C
$2,612 Vol.
32%
30°C
$2,839 Vol.
5%
31°C
$2,021 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,821 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,596 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,084 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts show Shanghai under the influence of the Meiyu plum rain season, with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar insolation and keep maximum temperatures centered on 28–29°C for June 18. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because even modest shifts in convective timing or cloud thickness can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C. Numerical weather models currently align on this range, though forecasters note typical June variability and the sensitivity of urban heat retention to brief clear spells. Trader consensus thus reflects high uncertainty between 27°C and 29°C while assigning low probability to extremes above 30°C or below 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$35,255終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts show Shanghai under the influence of the Meiyu plum rain season, with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar insolation and keep maximum temperatures centered on 28–29°C for June 18. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because even modest shifts in convective timing or cloud thickness can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C. Numerical weather models currently align on this range, though forecasters note typical June variability and the sensitivity of urban heat retention to brief clear spells. Trader consensus thus reflects high uncertainty between 27°C and 29°C while assigning low probability to extremes above 30°C or below 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$35,255終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts show Shanghai under the influence of the Meiyu plum rain season, with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar insolation and keep maximum temperatures centered on 28–29°C for June 18. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because even modest shifts in convective timing or cloud thickness can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C. Numerical weather models currently align on this range, though forecasters note typical June variability and the sensitivity of urban heat retention to brief clear spells. Trader consensus thus reflects high uncertainty between 27°C and 29°C while assigning low probability to extremes above 30°C or below 27°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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