Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to mostly sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C in Tel Aviv on July 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light westerly flow typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. Coastal sea-breeze effects moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes unlikely while aligning with July climatological averages of 30–33°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited divergence and no incoming heatwave signals or humidity shifts that would push readings higher. Updated short-range model runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution, with traders weighting the stable atmospheric setup heavily in the current market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月24日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
32°C 60%
31°C 21%
33°C 17%
34°C 3.5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
21%
32°C
60%
33°C
17%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
31°C 21%
33°C 17%
34°C 3.5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
21%
32°C
60%
33°C
17%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to mostly sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C in Tel Aviv on July 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light westerly flow typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. Coastal sea-breeze effects moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes unlikely while aligning with July climatological averages of 30–33°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited divergence and no incoming heatwave signals or humidity shifts that would push readings higher. Updated short-range model runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution, with traders weighting the stable atmospheric setup heavily in the current market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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