The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has become the primary catalyst behind the 69.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have now surpassed 50 continuous hours at human speed using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in high mean-time-between-failures. Lingering uncertainty around gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps keeps the 100-200-hour bracket at 22%, with resolution on May 21 hinging on whether the uninterrupted stream holds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日200時間以上 69%
100〜200時間 22%
50～100時間 8%
$70,262 Vol.
$70,262 Vol.
2026/05/21
50～100時間
8%
100〜200時間
22%
200時間以上
69%
200時間以上 69%
100〜200時間 22%
50～100時間 8%
$70,262 Vol.
$70,262 Vol.
2026/05/21
50～100時間
$4,460 Vol.
8%
100〜200時間
$2,663 Vol.
22%
200時間以上
$11,406 Vol.
69%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has become the primary catalyst behind the 69.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have now surpassed 50 continuous hours at human speed using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in high mean-time-between-failures. Lingering uncertainty around gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps keeps the 100-200-hour bracket at 22%, with resolution on May 21 hinging on whether the uninterrupted stream holds.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
音量
$70,262終了日
2026/05/21マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has become the primary catalyst behind the 69.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have now surpassed 50 continuous hours at human speed using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in high mean-time-between-failures. Lingering uncertainty around gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps keeps the 100-200-hour bracket at 22%, with resolution on May 21 hinging on whether the uninterrupted stream holds.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$70,262終了日
2026/05/21マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has become the primary catalyst behind the 69.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have now surpassed 50 continuous hours at human speed using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in high mean-time-between-failures. Lingering uncertainty around gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps keeps the 100-200-hour bracket at 22%, with resolution on May 21 hinging on whether the uninterrupted stream holds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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