Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日How long will ICEMAN be?
How long will ICEMAN be?
60 - 70 minutes 100.0%
<30 minutes <1%
30 - 40 minutes <1%
40 - 50 minutes <1%
$16,810 Vol.
$16,810 Vol.
2026/05/15
<30 minutes
No
30 - 40 minutes
No
40 - 50 minutes
No
50 - 60 minutes
No
60 - 70 minutes
Yes
70 - 80 minutes
No
80 - 90 minutes
No
90+ minutes
No
60 - 70 minutes 100.0%
<30 minutes <1%
30 - 40 minutes <1%
40 - 50 minutes <1%
$16,810 Vol.
$16,810 Vol.
2026/05/15
<30 minutes
$14,921 Vol.
No
30 - 40 minutes
$1,148 Vol.
No
40 - 50 minutes
$85 Vol.
No
50 - 60 minutes
$56 Vol.
No
60 - 70 minutes
$175 Vol.
Yes
70 - 80 minutes
$185 Vol.
No
80 - 90 minutes
$88 Vol.
No
90+ minutes
$152 Vol.
No
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
マーケット開始日： Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
音量
$16,810終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.
The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.
Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
音量
$16,810終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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