Global seismicity data from USGS records indicate an average of roughly 15–20 magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes worldwide each year, or about 0.3–0.4 events per week, which underpins the market’s emphasis on zero or one occurrence during June 15–21. Recent activity included a magnitude 6.5 event near the Philippines on June 8 and elevated counts of magnitude 5+ quakes around June 10, yet these remain consistent with normal variability along Pacific Ring of Fire plate boundaries rather than signaling a sustained cluster. Short-term forecasts carry high uncertainty because large events follow a Poisson-like distribution with occasional aftershock sequences, but no active swarm or foreshock patterns currently point to elevated odds of multiple magnitude 6.5+ quakes in the coming days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日～ 6月21日の6.5以上の地震は何回ありますか？
6月15日～ 6月21日の6.5以上の地震は何回ありますか？
0 47%
1 33%
2 13%
3 3.6%
新規
新規
2026/06/21
0
47%
1
33%
2
13%
3
4%
4
3%
5
2%
>5
1%
0 47%
1 33%
2 13%
3 3.6%
新規
新規
2026/06/21
0
$2 Vol.
47%
1
$3 Vol.
33%
2
$10 Vol.
13%
3
$117 Vol.
4%
4
$1,223 Vol.
3%
5
$154 Vol.
2%
>5
$168 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismicity data from USGS records indicate an average of roughly 15–20 magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes worldwide each year, or about 0.3–0.4 events per week, which underpins the market’s emphasis on zero or one occurrence during June 15–21. Recent activity included a magnitude 6.5 event near the Philippines on June 8 and elevated counts of magnitude 5+ quakes around June 10, yet these remain consistent with normal variability along Pacific Ring of Fire plate boundaries rather than signaling a sustained cluster. Short-term forecasts carry high uncertainty because large events follow a Poisson-like distribution with occasional aftershock sequences, but no active swarm or foreshock patterns currently point to elevated odds of multiple magnitude 6.5+ quakes in the coming days.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
音量
$1,676終了日
2026/06/21マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismicity data from USGS records indicate an average of roughly 15–20 magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes worldwide each year, or about 0.3–0.4 events per week, which underpins the market’s emphasis on zero or one occurrence during June 15–21. Recent activity included a magnitude 6.5 event near the Philippines on June 8 and elevated counts of magnitude 5+ quakes around June 10, yet these remain consistent with normal variability along Pacific Ring of Fire plate boundaries rather than signaling a sustained cluster. Short-term forecasts carry high uncertainty because large events follow a Poisson-like distribution with occasional aftershock sequences, but no active swarm or foreshock patterns currently point to elevated odds of multiple magnitude 6.5+ quakes in the coming days.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
音量
$1,676終了日
2026/06/21マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismicity data from USGS records indicate an average of roughly 15–20 magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes worldwide each year, or about 0.3–0.4 events per week, which underpins the market’s emphasis on zero or one occurrence during June 15–21. Recent activity included a magnitude 6.5 event near the Philippines on June 8 and elevated counts of magnitude 5+ quakes around June 10, yet these remain consistent with normal variability along Pacific Ring of Fire plate boundaries rather than signaling a sustained cluster. Short-term forecasts carry high uncertainty because large events follow a Poisson-like distribution with occasional aftershock sequences, but no active swarm or foreshock patterns currently point to elevated odds of multiple magnitude 6.5+ quakes in the coming days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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