Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows one confirmed magnitude 6.5 earthquake on June 8 offshore the Philippines, with no additional events reaching that threshold through June 10. Trader sentiment clusters around zero to two total events for the week because the remaining four days fall within normal background rates of one to three magnitude 6.5+ quakes worldwide, drawn from long-term USGS catalogs. Ongoing subduction-zone activity along the Philippine and Pacific plates sustains the possibility of further events, yet no current aftershock sequences or elevated strain indicators from official networks point to an imminent cluster. Market-implied odds therefore embed the inherent variability of short-term seismicity, where small shifts in model runs or new detections could readily alter the final count.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月8日から6月14日までの6.5以上の地震は何回ありますか?
1 51%
0 48%
2 26%
3 3.5%
$14,658 Vol.
$14,658 Vol.
0
29%
1
39%
2
32%
3
3%
4
1%
5
<1%
>5
<1%
1 51%
0 48%
2 26%
3 3.5%
$14,658 Vol.
$14,658 Vol.
0
29%
1
39%
2
32%
3
3%
4
1%
5
<1%
>5
<1%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
マーケット開始日: Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows one confirmed magnitude 6.5 earthquake on June 8 offshore the Philippines, with no additional events reaching that threshold through June 10. Trader sentiment clusters around zero to two total events for the week because the remaining four days fall within normal background rates of one to three magnitude 6.5+ quakes worldwide, drawn from long-term USGS catalogs. Ongoing subduction-zone activity along the Philippine and Pacific plates sustains the possibility of further events, yet no current aftershock sequences or elevated strain indicators from official networks point to an imminent cluster. Market-implied odds therefore embed the inherent variability of short-term seismicity, where small shifts in model runs or new detections could readily alter the final count.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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