Global seismic rates from USGS data show roughly 1,300–2,000 magnitude 5.0–5.9 events annually, with 5.5+ quakes typically numbering 8–12 per week amid natural variability. Trader consensus favoring 7–9 or more events for June 15–21 reflects this baseline alongside Poisson-like randomness in tectonic release, where aftershock sequences or coincident subduction-zone activity can push weekly totals higher. Recent monitoring through mid-June indicates standard global activity without major clusters or elevated M6+ events altering the outlook. Resolution hinges on official USGS magnitude thresholds and timing windows, with new daily catalogs providing the key updates traders will weigh.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日～ 6月21日の5.5以上の地震は何回ありますか？
6月15日～ 6月21日の5.5以上の地震は何回ありますか？
>9 43%
9 14%
8 12%
7 11%
新規
新規
2026/06/21
5以下
10%
6
10%
7
11%
8
12%
9
14%
>9
43%
>9 43%
9 14%
8 12%
7 11%
新規
新規
2026/06/21
5以下
$218 Vol.
10%
6
$40 Vol.
10%
7
$42 Vol.
11%
8
$40 Vol.
12%
9
$58 Vol.
14%
>9
$271 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic rates from USGS data show roughly 1,300–2,000 magnitude 5.0–5.9 events annually, with 5.5+ quakes typically numbering 8–12 per week amid natural variability. Trader consensus favoring 7–9 or more events for June 15–21 reflects this baseline alongside Poisson-like randomness in tectonic release, where aftershock sequences or coincident subduction-zone activity can push weekly totals higher. Recent monitoring through mid-June indicates standard global activity without major clusters or elevated M6+ events altering the outlook. Resolution hinges on official USGS magnitude thresholds and timing windows, with new daily catalogs providing the key updates traders will weigh.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
音量
$670終了日
2026/06/21マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic rates from USGS data show roughly 1,300–2,000 magnitude 5.0–5.9 events annually, with 5.5+ quakes typically numbering 8–12 per week amid natural variability. Trader consensus favoring 7–9 or more events for June 15–21 reflects this baseline alongside Poisson-like randomness in tectonic release, where aftershock sequences or coincident subduction-zone activity can push weekly totals higher. Recent monitoring through mid-June indicates standard global activity without major clusters or elevated M6+ events altering the outlook. Resolution hinges on official USGS magnitude thresholds and timing windows, with new daily catalogs providing the key updates traders will weigh.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
音量
$670終了日
2026/06/21マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic rates from USGS data show roughly 1,300–2,000 magnitude 5.0–5.9 events annually, with 5.5+ quakes typically numbering 8–12 per week amid natural variability. Trader consensus favoring 7–9 or more events for June 15–21 reflects this baseline alongside Poisson-like randomness in tectonic release, where aftershock sequences or coincident subduction-zone activity can push weekly totals higher. Recent monitoring through mid-June indicates standard global activity without major clusters or elevated M6+ events altering the outlook. Resolution hinges on official USGS magnitude thresholds and timing windows, with new daily catalogs providing the key updates traders will weigh.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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