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icon for ジミー・キンメルは5月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?

ジミー・キンメルは5月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?

icon for ジミー・キンメルは5月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?

ジミー・キンメルは5月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?

はい

1% 確率
Polymarket

$411,984 Vol.

はい

1% 確率
Polymarket

$411,984 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Kimmel ceases to be the host of Jimmy Kimmel Live! for any length of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Kimmel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from ABC or Disney, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Jimmy Kimmel's recent one-year contract extension with ABC through May 2027 anchors trader consensus against any firing or resignation by the end of this month. The late-night host continues his established role at Disney-owned ABC without reported contract disputes or performance issues that would prompt network action. Political pressure from the White House over past jokes has not translated into executive decisions at the network level. With no scheduled contract expiration or public statements signaling departure, the current 99% implied probability for "No" reflects the absence of catalysts for change in the short resolution window. A voluntary resignation remains theoretically possible but lacks supporting developments in recent months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Kimmel ceases to be the host of Jimmy Kimmel Live! for any length of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Kimmel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from ABC or Disney, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$411,984
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Kimmel ceases to be the host of Jimmy Kimmel Live! for any length of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Kimmel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from ABC or Disney, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Kimmel ceases to be the host of Jimmy Kimmel Live! for any length of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Kimmel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from ABC or Disney, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Jimmy Kimmel's recent one-year contract extension with ABC through May 2027 anchors trader consensus against any firing or resignation by the end of this month. The late-night host continues his established role at Disney-owned ABC without reported contract disputes or performance issues that would prompt network action. Political pressure from the White House over past jokes has not translated into executive decisions at the network level. With no scheduled contract expiration or public statements signaling departure, the current 99% implied probability for "No" reflects the absence of catalysts for change in the short resolution window. A voluntary resignation remains theoretically possible but lacks supporting developments in recent months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Kimmel ceases to be the host of Jimmy Kimmel Live! for any length of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Kimmel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from ABC or Disney, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$411,984
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Kimmel ceases to be the host of Jimmy Kimmel Live! for any length of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Kimmel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from ABC or Disney, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「ジミー・キンメルは5月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジミー・キンメルが5月31日までに解雇される/辞任する?」で1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、1¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に1%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ジミー・キンメルは5月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?」は$412Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ジミー・キンメルは5月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ジミー・キンメルは5月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?」の現在のリーダーは「ジミー・キンメルが5月31日までに解雇される/辞任する?」でわずか1%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジミー・キンメルは5月31日までに解雇/辞任しましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。