South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, who took office in June 2025 following the prior incumbent’s impeachment, faces no active constitutional removal process as of mid-August 2026. The five-year fixed term requires supermajorities in the National Assembly for impeachment or resignation, thresholds not approached amid Democratic Party legislative control and the party’s strong showing in the June 2026 local elections. Approval ratings near 50-60 percent have softened modestly after those contests but have not sparked widespread protests or formal challenges. Ongoing constitutional reform proposals for four-year terms with re-election remain preliminary and would not alter the current structure. Foreign policy continuity and the absence of major scandals or legislative gridlock underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 91 percent probability assigned to “No.”