Trump's January endorsement has consolidated Republican support behind U.S. Representative Julia Letlow as the primary vehicle to replace Senator Bill Cassidy, whose 2021 impeachment vote and policy clashes with the administration have drawn sustained party opposition. This dynamic has elevated Letlow over state Treasurer John Fleming, who has mounted a self-funded campaign and remained competitive in earlier polling but lacks equivalent national backing. Recent debates and attack ads between the two challengers have further sharpened the contest along pro-Trump lines, positioning Letlow to lead the May 16 first-round ballot under Louisiana's jungle primary rules. A strong late surge by Fleming or unexpectedly high Cassidy turnout could narrow the margin, though the current trader consensus reflects limited room for such shifts before results are certified.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Julia Letlow 97.4%
John Fleming 2.0%
Bill Cassidy 1.9%
$46,865 Vol.
$46,865 Vol.
2026/05/16
Julia Letlow
97%
John Fleming
2%
Bill Cassidy
2%
Julia Letlow 97.4%
John Fleming 2.0%
Bill Cassidy 1.9%
$46,865 Vol.
$46,865 Vol.
2026/05/16
Julia Letlow
$15,725 Vol.
97%
John Fleming
$17,816 Vol.
2%
Bill Cassidy
$13,438 Vol.
2%
The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trump's January endorsement has consolidated Republican support behind U.S. Representative Julia Letlow as the primary vehicle to replace Senator Bill Cassidy, whose 2021 impeachment vote and policy clashes with the administration have drawn sustained party opposition. This dynamic has elevated Letlow over state Treasurer John Fleming, who has mounted a self-funded campaign and remained competitive in earlier polling but lacks equivalent national backing. Recent debates and attack ads between the two challengers have further sharpened the contest along pro-Trump lines, positioning Letlow to lead the May 16 first-round ballot under Louisiana's jungle primary rules. A strong late surge by Fleming or unexpectedly high Cassidy turnout could narrow the margin, though the current trader consensus reflects limited room for such shifts before results are certified.
The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
音量
$46,865終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trump's January endorsement has consolidated Republican support behind U.S. Representative Julia Letlow as the primary vehicle to replace Senator Bill Cassidy, whose 2021 impeachment vote and policy clashes with the administration have drawn sustained party opposition. This dynamic has elevated Letlow over state Treasurer John Fleming, who has mounted a self-funded campaign and remained competitive in earlier polling but lacks equivalent national backing. Recent debates and attack ads between the two challengers have further sharpened the contest along pro-Trump lines, positioning Letlow to lead the May 16 first-round ballot under Louisiana's jungle primary rules. A strong late surge by Fleming or unexpectedly high Cassidy turnout could narrow the margin, though the current trader consensus reflects limited room for such shifts before results are certified.
The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$46,865終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's January endorsement has consolidated Republican support behind U.S. Representative Julia Letlow as the primary vehicle to replace Senator Bill Cassidy, whose 2021 impeachment vote and policy clashes with the administration have drawn sustained party opposition. This dynamic has elevated Letlow over state Treasurer John Fleming, who has mounted a self-funded campaign and remained competitive in earlier polling but lacks equivalent national backing. Recent debates and attack ads between the two challengers have further sharpened the contest along pro-Trump lines, positioning Letlow to lead the May 16 first-round ballot under Louisiana's jungle primary rules. A strong late surge by Fleming or unexpectedly high Cassidy turnout could narrow the margin, though the current trader consensus reflects limited room for such shifts before results are certified.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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