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政治·プライマリ

メイン州知事共和党予備選

icon for メイン州知事共和党予備選
政治·プライマリ

メイン州知事共和党予備選

ロバート・チャールズ 53%

ベン・ミッジリー 24%

ギャレット・メイソン 11%

ジョナサン・ブッシュ 7.3%

Polymarket

$28,159 Vol.

ロバート・チャールズ 53%

ベン・ミッジリー 24%

ギャレット・メイソン 11%

ジョナサン・ブッシュ 7.3%

Polymarket

$28,159 Vol.

ロバート・チャールズ

$5,540 Vol.

53%

ベン・ミッジリー

$2,235 Vol.

24%

ギャレット・メイソン

$899 Vol.

15%

ジョナサン・ブッシュ

$11,955 Vol.

7%

ケン・カプロン

$1,627 Vol.

2%

デイビッド・ジョーンズ

$1,972 Vol.

1%

ジェームズ・リビー

$954 Vol.

1%

ロバート・ウェッセルズ

$1,443 Vol.

1%

オーエン・マッカーシー

$1,535 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Robert Charles leads the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary market at 53% implied probability, reflecting his early polling edge from February surveys showing 28% support among GOP voters, bolstered by national experience as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State and targeted outreach to older voters via social media. Ben Midgley's 24% share surged after winning the Maine GOP straw poll on April 20 despite distribution issues, while his May 7 second-choice alliance with David Jones aims to consolidate anti-Charles votes under ranked-choice voting rules ahead of the June 9 primary. Garrett Mason's 10.5% draws from his prior 2018 runner-up finish as ex-Senate Majority Leader, though Jonathan Bush lags at 7.2% despite strong fundraising over $2 million. Charles' recent debate absences have fueled scrutiny, but trader consensus prioritizes his frontrunner momentum in the crowded nine-candidate field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$28,159
終了日
2026/06/09
マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Robert Charles leads the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary market at 53% implied probability, reflecting his early polling edge from February surveys showing 28% support among GOP voters, bolstered by national experience as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State and targeted outreach to older voters via social media. Ben Midgley's 24% share surged after winning the Maine GOP straw poll on April 20 despite distribution issues, while his May 7 second-choice alliance with David Jones aims to consolidate anti-Charles votes under ranked-choice voting rules ahead of the June 9 primary. Garrett Mason's 10.5% draws from his prior 2018 runner-up finish as ex-Senate Majority Leader, though Jonathan Bush lags at 7.2% despite strong fundraising over $2 million. Charles' recent debate absences have fueled scrutiny, but trader consensus prioritizes his frontrunner momentum in the crowded nine-candidate field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$28,159
終了日
2026/06/09
マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「メイン州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ロバート・チャールズ」で53%、次いで「ベン・ミッジリー」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、53¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に53%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「メイン州知事共和党予備選」は$28.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 11, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「メイン州知事共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「メイン州知事共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ロバート・チャールズ」で53%であり、市場がこの結果に53%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ベン・ミッジリー」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「メイン州知事共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。