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icon for NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner
選挙·ハウス・プライマリー

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner
選挙·ハウス・プライマリー

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Rebecca Bennett 87%

Brian Varela 16.6%

Michael Roth 6.0%

Tina Shah 4.0%

Polymarket
新規

Rebecca Bennett 87%

Brian Varela 16.6%

Michael Roth 6.0%

Tina Shah 4.0%

Polymarket
新規

Rebecca Bennett

$661 Vol.

83%

Brian Varela

$1,088 Vol.

25%

Michael Roth

$1,183 Vol.

13%

Tina Shah

$604 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands an 84% implied probability in trader consensus for the NJ-07 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by her leading small-donor fundraising—$2.65 million total raised, with $1.42 million cash on hand—and endorsements from over 100 local Democratic leaders plus recent super PAC ad buys from VoteVets and Article One Action. These factors underscore her electability edge in the battleground district against self-funded challengers Brian Varela (27%), who secured progressive backing like Newark Mayor Ras Baraka's endorsement, Michael Roth (11%), leveraging Biden administration experience, and Tina Shah (5%), emphasizing healthcare expertise. A key New Jersey Globe debate three days ago highlighted policy contrasts on affordability and challenging Rep. Tom Kean Jr., but traders see Bennett's momentum persisting ahead of early voting starting May 26, amid no public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$3,536
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands an 84% implied probability in trader consensus for the NJ-07 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by her leading small-donor fundraising—$2.65 million total raised, with $1.42 million cash on hand—and endorsements from over 100 local Democratic leaders plus recent super PAC ad buys from VoteVets and Article One Action. These factors underscore her electability edge in the battleground district against self-funded challengers Brian Varela (27%), who secured progressive backing like Newark Mayor Ras Baraka's endorsement, Michael Roth (11%), leveraging Biden administration experience, and Tina Shah (5%), emphasizing healthcare expertise. A key New Jersey Globe debate three days ago highlighted policy contrasts on affordability and challenging Rep. Tom Kean Jr., but traders see Bennett's momentum persisting ahead of early voting starting May 26, amid no public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$3,536
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Rebecca Bennett」で83%、次いで「Brian Varela」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、83¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に83%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 22, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Rebecca Bennett」で83%であり、市場がこの結果に83%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Brian Varela」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。