In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus favors state Rep. Chris Rabb at 59.4% implied probability to win the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans, reflecting his recent surge from the Philadelphia Inquirer endorsement and progressive grassroots momentum emphasizing no corporate PAC money and policies like Medicare for All. State Sen. Sharif Street trails at 38%, weighed by backlash over his 2022 gerrymandering push and reports of Gov. Josh Shapiro urging building trades unions to avoid attacking third-place Ala Stanford to consolidate moderate votes against Rabb. Recent WHYY and CBS debates highlighted legislative contrasts, with high undecideds and low turnout risks in this safe Democratic district amplifying momentum shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日クリス・ラブ 59.4%
シャリフ・ストリート 38%
アラ・スタンフォード 4.8%
ガブリエル・カセレス <1%
$46,286 Vol.
$46,286 Vol.
クリス・ラブ
59%
シャリフ・ストリート
38%
アラ・スタンフォード
5%
ガブリエル・カセレス
1%
デイビッド・オックスマン
<1%
モーガン・セファス
<1%
ロビン・トールデンズ
<1%
クリス・ラブ 59.4%
シャリフ・ストリート 38%
アラ・スタンフォード 4.8%
ガブリエル・カセレス <1%
$46,286 Vol.
$46,286 Vol.
クリス・ラブ
59%
シャリフ・ストリート
38%
アラ・スタンフォード
5%
ガブリエル・カセレス
1%
デイビッド・オックスマン
<1%
モーガン・セファス
<1%
ロビン・トールデンズ
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus favors state Rep. Chris Rabb at 59.4% implied probability to win the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans, reflecting his recent surge from the Philadelphia Inquirer endorsement and progressive grassroots momentum emphasizing no corporate PAC money and policies like Medicare for All. State Sen. Sharif Street trails at 38%, weighed by backlash over his 2022 gerrymandering push and reports of Gov. Josh Shapiro urging building trades unions to avoid attacking third-place Ala Stanford to consolidate moderate votes against Rabb. Recent WHYY and CBS debates highlighted legislative contrasts, with high undecideds and low turnout risks in this safe Democratic district amplifying momentum shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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