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icon for 愛が勝つ： 2026年版

愛が勝つ： 2026年版

icon for 愛が勝つ： 2026年版

愛が勝つ： 2026年版

はい

26% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

26% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's "Love Wins: 2026 Edition" market tilts heavily toward "No" at 74% implied probability, reflecting skepticism that all three celebrity couples—Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce, Tom Holland and Zendaya, and Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner—will simultaneously achieve marriage or engagement by December 31, 2026, without any breakup announcements. Recent debunkings have cooled optimism: Swift and Kelce's rumored June wedding at Rhode Island's Ocean House was refuted by event planners in early April, while Zendaya dismissed marriage speculation during a March Jimmy Kimmel appearance amid viral AI fakes. Chalamet and Jenner showed casual solidarity at a May 4 Broadway outing and Swift-Kelce date night on May 7, but no official rings, statements, or nuptials have materialized in the past 30 days. With celebrity relationships prone to volatility and awards-season buzz as the next potential catalyst, the all-or-nothing criteria create substantial barriers to a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:

- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
音量
$4,697
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's "Love Wins: 2026 Edition" market tilts heavily toward "No" at 74% implied probability, reflecting skepticism that all three celebrity couples—Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce, Tom Holland and Zendaya, and Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner—will simultaneously achieve marriage or engagement by December 31, 2026, without any breakup announcements. Recent debunkings have cooled optimism: Swift and Kelce's rumored June wedding at Rhode Island's Ocean House was refuted by event planners in early April, while Zendaya dismissed marriage speculation during a March Jimmy Kimmel appearance amid viral AI fakes. Chalamet and Jenner showed casual solidarity at a May 4 Broadway outing and Swift-Kelce date night on May 7, but no official rings, statements, or nuptials have materialized in the past 30 days. With celebrity relationships prone to volatility and awards-season buzz as the next potential catalyst, the all-or-nothing criteria create substantial barriers to a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:

- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
音量
$4,697
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「愛が勝つ： 2026年版」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ラブ・ウィンズ：2026年版」で26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、26¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に26%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「愛が勝つ： 2026年版」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Feb 10, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「愛が勝つ： 2026年版」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「愛が勝つ： 2026年版」の現在のフロントランナーは「ラブ・ウィンズ：2026年版」で26%であり、市場がこの結果に26%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「愛が勝つ： 2026年版」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。