A strong influx of Antarctic polar air, driven by southerly flow and clear skies favoring nocturnal radiative cooling, has sharply lowered temperatures across the Río de la Plata region ahead of September 7. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts and GFS/ECMWF guidance indicate minimums near 3–4 °C on the 6th with modest moderation to around 4–6 °C on the 7th under light northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions. This climatologically cool episode for early spring underpins the 69.5 % market-implied odds for 1 °C or below, while the spread across 2–5 °C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the air-mass transition. Updated model runs and official observations on the 6th–7th will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum at the central Buenos Aires station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月7日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は？
9月7日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は？
1℃以下 70%
4℃ 34%
3℃ 27%
11°C以上 22%
新規
新規
2026/09/07
1℃以下
70%
2°C
19%
3℃
17%
4℃
34%
5℃
11%
6℃
7%
7℃
8%
8°C
19%
9℃
15%
10℃
15%
11°C以上
22%
1℃以下 70%
4℃ 34%
3℃ 27%
11°C以上 22%
新規
新規
2026/09/07
1℃以下
$18 Vol.
70%
2°C
$0 Vol.
19%
3℃
$13 Vol.
17%
4℃
$13 Vol.
34%
5℃
$0 Vol.
11%
6℃
$63 Vol.
7%
7℃
$217 Vol.
8%
8°C
$0 Vol.
19%
9℃
$0 Vol.
15%
10℃
$0 Vol.
15%
11°C以上
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong influx of Antarctic polar air, driven by southerly flow and clear skies favoring nocturnal radiative cooling, has sharply lowered temperatures across the Río de la Plata region ahead of September 7. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts and GFS/ECMWF guidance indicate minimums near 3–4 °C on the 6th with modest moderation to around 4–6 °C on the 7th under light northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions. This climatologically cool episode for early spring underpins the 69.5 % market-implied odds for 1 °C or below, while the spread across 2–5 °C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the air-mass transition. Updated model runs and official observations on the 6th–7th will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum at the central Buenos Aires station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$324終了日
2026/09/07マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong influx of Antarctic polar air, driven by southerly flow and clear skies favoring nocturnal radiative cooling, has sharply lowered temperatures across the Río de la Plata region ahead of September 7. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts and GFS/ECMWF guidance indicate minimums near 3–4 °C on the 6th with modest moderation to around 4–6 °C on the 7th under light northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions. This climatologically cool episode for early spring underpins the 69.5 % market-implied odds for 1 °C or below, while the spread across 2–5 °C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the air-mass transition. Updated model runs and official observations on the 6th–7th will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum at the central Buenos Aires station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$324終了日
2026/09/07マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETA strong influx of Antarctic polar air, driven by southerly flow and clear skies favoring nocturnal radiative cooling, has sharply lowered temperatures across the Río de la Plata region ahead of September 7. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts and GFS/ECMWF guidance indicate minimums near 3–4 °C on the 6th with modest moderation to around 4–6 °C on the 7th under light northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions. This climatologically cool episode for early spring underpins the 69.5 % market-implied odds for 1 °C or below, while the spread across 2–5 °C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the air-mass transition. Updated model runs and official observations on the 6th–7th will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum at the central Buenos Aires station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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