Current Met Office guidance points to a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 27 amid a moderating air mass after earlier July warmth, with ensemble models showing modest spread around that value. Traders favor 15–17°C outcomes because typical late-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds often produces lows near the 14–16°C climatological baseline, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger mixing could hold temperatures a degree or two higher. Short-range model updates from the Met Office and ECMWF remain the key near-term catalysts, as even small shifts in predicted wind or humidity can alter the precise minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月27日のロンドンの最低気温は?
16℃ 47%
15°C 37%
17℃ 36%
18°C 36%
13°C以下
18%
14℃
18%
15°C
37%
16℃
47%
17℃
36%
18°C
36%
19°C
36%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23℃以上
1%
16℃ 47%
15°C 37%
17℃ 36%
18°C 36%
13°C以下
18%
14℃
18%
15°C
37%
16℃
47%
17℃
36%
18°C
36%
19°C
36%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current Met Office guidance points to a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 27 amid a moderating air mass after earlier July warmth, with ensemble models showing modest spread around that value. Traders favor 15–17°C outcomes because typical late-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds often produces lows near the 14–16°C climatological baseline, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger mixing could hold temperatures a degree or two higher. Short-range model updates from the Met Office and ECMWF remain the key near-term catalysts, as even small shifts in predicted wind or humidity can alter the precise minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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