Current forecast guidance for Shanghai on July 27 shows overnight lows centered near 27–29 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors preventing sharper drops, while any increase in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum toward 26 °C or below. Recent model consensus from extended July outlooks and short-range guidance supports this narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines where July lows average 25–28 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and regional model runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月27日の上海の最低気温は?
28℃ 35%
27°C 23%
29°C 14%
26℃ 13%
23°C以下
3%
24℃
5%
25℃
12%
26℃
13%
27°C
23%
28℃
35%
29°C
14%
30℃
8%
31°C
8%
32℃
5%
33°C以上
12%
28℃ 35%
27°C 23%
29°C 14%
26℃ 13%
23°C以下
3%
24℃
5%
25℃
12%
26℃
13%
27°C
23%
28℃
35%
29°C
14%
30℃
8%
31°C
8%
32℃
5%
33°C以上
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance for Shanghai on July 27 shows overnight lows centered near 27–29 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors preventing sharper drops, while any increase in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum toward 26 °C or below. Recent model consensus from extended July outlooks and short-range guidance supports this narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines where July lows average 25–28 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and regional model runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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