Trader consensus in this market clusters around 14–15°C as the implied probability leader because current Met Office and ensemble guidance project overnight lows near that threshold under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds, enabling moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs near 21°C. Urban heat-island effects at central London stations and slight model spread on minimum dew points and wind speeds differentiate the closely matched 14°C, 15°C, and 17°C outcomes, while historical September minima around 11–12°C provide context but appear tempered by the current warm anomaly. Updated observational data from official stations tonight will refine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のロンドンの最低気温は？
9月20日のロンドンの最低気温は？
14°C 42%
17℃ 26%
16°C 21%
15℃ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
9℃以下
<1%
10℃
1%
11℃
<1%
12°C
3%
13℃
13%
14°C
34%
15℃
26%
16°C
21%
17℃
26%
18℃
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
14°C 42%
17℃ 26%
16°C 21%
15℃ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
9℃以下
$31 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$31 Vol.
1%
11℃
$36 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$51 Vol.
3%
13℃
$1,844 Vol.
13%
14°C
$1,727 Vol.
34%
15℃
$2,177 Vol.
26%
16°C
$487 Vol.
21%
17℃
$152 Vol.
26%
18℃
$46 Vol.
<1%
19℃以上
$503 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market clusters around 14–15°C as the implied probability leader because current Met Office and ensemble guidance project overnight lows near that threshold under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds, enabling moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs near 21°C. Urban heat-island effects at central London stations and slight model spread on minimum dew points and wind speeds differentiate the closely matched 14°C, 15°C, and 17°C outcomes, while historical September minima around 11–12°C provide context but appear tempered by the current warm anomaly. Updated observational data from official stations tonight will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$7,085終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market clusters around 14–15°C as the implied probability leader because current Met Office and ensemble guidance project overnight lows near that threshold under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds, enabling moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs near 21°C. Urban heat-island effects at central London stations and slight model spread on minimum dew points and wind speeds differentiate the closely matched 14°C, 15°C, and 17°C outcomes, while historical September minima around 11–12°C provide context but appear tempered by the current warm anomaly. Updated observational data from official stations tonight will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,085終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTrader consensus in this market clusters around 14–15°C as the implied probability leader because current Met Office and ensemble guidance project overnight lows near that threshold under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds, enabling moderate radiational cooling after daytime highs near 21°C. Urban heat-island effects at central London stations and slight model spread on minimum dew points and wind speeds differentiate the closely matched 14°C, 15°C, and 17°C outcomes, while historical September minima around 11–12°C provide context but appear tempered by the current warm anomaly. Updated observational data from official stations tonight will refine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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