Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows of 25–27°C on September 4, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling under high humidity. Multiple models align on minimum temperatures near 26°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average overnight lows hover around 20–24°C but recent days have shown elevated readings due to unsettled conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the 58% implied probability for 27°C and 33.5% for 26°C captures this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes absent a stronger cold advection event. Final verification will depend on official station data once the 24-hour period concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日の上海の最低気温は？
9月4日の上海の最低気温は？
27℃ 58%
26℃ 31%
25℃ 8%
24℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
4%
25℃
8%
26℃
31%
27℃
58%
28°C
4%
29℃
3%
30℃
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
27℃ 58%
26℃ 31%
25℃ 8%
24℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
21℃以下
$161 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$151 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$50 Vol.
1%
24℃
$209 Vol.
4%
25℃
$257 Vol.
8%
26℃
$406 Vol.
31%
27℃
$977 Vol.
58%
28°C
$32 Vol.
4%
29℃
$32 Vol.
3%
30℃
$140 Vol.
<1%
31℃以上
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows of 25–27°C on September 4, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling under high humidity. Multiple models align on minimum temperatures near 26°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average overnight lows hover around 20–24°C but recent days have shown elevated readings due to unsettled conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the 58% implied probability for 27°C and 33.5% for 26°C captures this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes absent a stronger cold advection event. Final verification will depend on official station data once the 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$2,372終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows of 25–27°C on September 4, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling under high humidity. Multiple models align on minimum temperatures near 26°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average overnight lows hover around 20–24°C but recent days have shown elevated readings due to unsettled conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the 58% implied probability for 27°C and 33.5% for 26°C captures this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes absent a stronger cold advection event. Final verification will depend on official station data once the 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,372終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows of 25–27°C on September 4, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling under high humidity. Multiple models align on minimum temperatures near 26°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average overnight lows hover around 20–24°C but recent days have shown elevated readings due to unsettled conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the 58% implied probability for 27°C and 33.5% for 26°C captures this narrow range, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes absent a stronger cold advection event. Final verification will depend on official station data once the 24-hour period concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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