Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a northwesterly flow over Wellington on September 3, supporting daytime highs near 15–16°C amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered showers. Early spring climatology favors gradual warming from August averages, with the current ridge and wind pattern limiting stronger advection of warmer air masses. Model consensus centers on this range, though variable cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader emphasis on 17°C reflects the upper end of plausible outcomes if clearing occurs earlier than expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
17°C 50%
16°C 27%
15°C 18%
18°C 7%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
18%
16°C
27%
17°C
39%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
17°C 50%
16°C 27%
15°C 18%
18°C 7%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
18%
16°C
27%
17°C
39%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a northwesterly flow over Wellington on September 3, supporting daytime highs near 15–16°C amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered showers. Early spring climatology favors gradual warming from August averages, with the current ridge and wind pattern limiting stronger advection of warmer air masses. Model consensus centers on this range, though variable cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader emphasis on 17°C reflects the upper end of plausible outcomes if clearing occurs earlier than expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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