Recent short-range model guidance from sources including WeatherBug and regional forecasts points to a high near 27–28°C for Qingdao on September 3 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast flow, consistent with the seasonal decline from August peaks. Coastal marine influence and strengthening northerly winds are expected to limit daytime heating, while clear conditions favor radiative warming during peak insolation hours. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31°C because traders weigh residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model spread on wind strength or cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 26°C provide a baseline, but the current setup shows no strong synoptic driver for either notable warming or cooling before the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日の青島の最高気温は？
9月3日の青島の最高気温は？
30℃ 30%
31℃ 29%
29°C 24%
32℃ 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
25°C以下
4%
26℃
4%
27°C
2%
28℃
23%
29°C
24%
30℃
30%
31℃
29%
32℃
24%
33℃
11%
34℃
7%
35℃以上
<1%
30℃ 30%
31℃ 29%
29°C 24%
32℃ 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
25°C以下
$5 Vol.
4%
26℃
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28℃
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30℃
$0 Vol.
30%
31℃
$0 Vol.
29%
32℃
$0 Vol.
24%
33℃
$0 Vol.
11%
34℃
$101 Vol.
7%
35℃以上
$38 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including WeatherBug and regional forecasts points to a high near 27–28°C for Qingdao on September 3 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast flow, consistent with the seasonal decline from August peaks. Coastal marine influence and strengthening northerly winds are expected to limit daytime heating, while clear conditions favor radiative warming during peak insolation hours. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31°C because traders weigh residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model spread on wind strength or cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 26°C provide a baseline, but the current setup shows no strong synoptic driver for either notable warming or cooling before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$154終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including WeatherBug and regional forecasts points to a high near 27–28°C for Qingdao on September 3 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast flow, consistent with the seasonal decline from August peaks. Coastal marine influence and strengthening northerly winds are expected to limit daytime heating, while clear conditions favor radiative warming during peak insolation hours. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31°C because traders weigh residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model spread on wind strength or cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 26°C provide a baseline, but the current setup shows no strong synoptic driver for either notable warming or cooling before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$154終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent short-range model guidance from sources including WeatherBug and regional forecasts points to a high near 27–28°C for Qingdao on September 3 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast flow, consistent with the seasonal decline from August peaks. Coastal marine influence and strengthening northerly winds are expected to limit daytime heating, while clear conditions favor radiative warming during peak insolation hours. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31°C because traders weigh residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model spread on wind strength or cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 26°C provide a baseline, but the current setup shows no strong synoptic driver for either notable warming or cooling before the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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