Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Miami on September 3, 2026, indicate a high near 89°F under mostly sunny skies with afternoon thunderstorms likely, aligning with the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 50.5% implied probability. Subtropical late-summer conditions featuring high precipitable water values, southeast flow, and typical diurnal heating support maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with the 89–90°F September climatological average at Miami International Airport. Afternoon convection and cloud cover introduce minor cooling potential that caps upside risk, explaining the secondary 92-93°F weighting at 24.5%. Stable moisture patterns without major steering changes or tropical influences have kept short-term guidance steady, with next NWS updates and model runs expected to refine the precise peak before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のマイアミの最高気温は?
90~91°F 51%
92〜93°F 25%
88〜89°F 12%
94〜95°F 5%
77°F以下
1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82~83°F
1%
84〜85°F
3%
86~87°F
4%
88〜89°F
12%
90~91°F
51%
92〜93°F
25%
94〜95°F
5%
華氏96度以上
2%
90~91°F 51%
92〜93°F 25%
88〜89°F 12%
94〜95°F 5%
77°F以下
1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82~83°F
1%
84〜85°F
3%
86~87°F
4%
88〜89°F
12%
90~91°F
51%
92〜93°F
25%
94〜95°F
5%
華氏96度以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Miami on September 3, 2026, indicate a high near 89°F under mostly sunny skies with afternoon thunderstorms likely, aligning with the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 50.5% implied probability. Subtropical late-summer conditions featuring high precipitable water values, southeast flow, and typical diurnal heating support maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with the 89–90°F September climatological average at Miami International Airport. Afternoon convection and cloud cover introduce minor cooling potential that caps upside risk, explaining the secondary 92-93°F weighting at 24.5%. Stable moisture patterns without major steering changes or tropical influences have kept short-term guidance steady, with next NWS updates and model runs expected to refine the precise peak before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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