Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 27–29°C for Toronto’s maximum temperature on September 1, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from meteorological agencies amid transitional late-summer patterns. Key differentiators include the position and strength of an approaching trough, boundary-layer moisture, and diurnal heating potential under variable cloud cover, with models diverging on timing of any frontal passage. Early-September climatology places Toronto’s average daily high near 23–25°C, so current guidance implies above-normal warmth from southerly flow. Updated runs from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles, plus local mesoscale adjustments, will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のトロントの最高気温は？
9月1日のトロントの最高気温は？
28°C 19%
29°C 19%
27°C 16%
31°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
22°C以下
1%
23℃
4%
24°C
7%
25℃
13%
26°C
7%
27°C
16%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32℃以上
6%
28°C 19%
29°C 19%
27°C 16%
31°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
22°C以下
$0 Vol.
1%
23℃
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
7%
25℃
$0 Vol.
13%
26°C
$14 Vol.
7%
27°C
$95 Vol.
16%
28°C
$76 Vol.
19%
29°C
$92 Vol.
19%
30°C
$20 Vol.
6%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32℃以上
$16 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 27–29°C for Toronto’s maximum temperature on September 1, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from meteorological agencies amid transitional late-summer patterns. Key differentiators include the position and strength of an approaching trough, boundary-layer moisture, and diurnal heating potential under variable cloud cover, with models diverging on timing of any frontal passage. Early-September climatology places Toronto’s average daily high near 23–25°C, so current guidance implies above-normal warmth from southerly flow. Updated runs from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles, plus local mesoscale adjustments, will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
音量
$313終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 27–29°C for Toronto’s maximum temperature on September 1, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from meteorological agencies amid transitional late-summer patterns. Key differentiators include the position and strength of an approaching trough, boundary-layer moisture, and diurnal heating potential under variable cloud cover, with models diverging on timing of any frontal passage. Early-September climatology places Toronto’s average daily high near 23–25°C, so current guidance implies above-normal warmth from southerly flow. Updated runs from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles, plus local mesoscale adjustments, will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$313終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ETTrader consensus shows tight clustering around 27–29°C for Toronto’s maximum temperature on September 1, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from meteorological agencies amid transitional late-summer patterns. Key differentiators include the position and strength of an approaching trough, boundary-layer moisture, and diurnal heating potential under variable cloud cover, with models diverging on timing of any frontal passage. Early-September climatology places Toronto’s average daily high near 23–25°C, so current guidance implies above-normal warmth from southerly flow. Updated runs from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles, plus local mesoscale adjustments, will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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