**Forecast model spreads and limited overnight radiative cooling under cloudy, humid conditions with possible showers are keeping the lowest temperature on September 1 in Toronto uncertain within a narrow band around 17–22 °C.** Official Environment Canada guidance and recent model runs indicate a mild southerly flow supporting daytime highs near 28–29 °C, while nocturnal lows depend on the timing of any precipitation, cloud cover, and light winds that reduce cooling. Historical climatology shows a September 1 average low of 16.1 °C, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern with elevated dew points limiting temperature drops. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 17–22 °C outcomes reflects this genuine short-range forecast uncertainty, with new model updates and official briefings expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のトロントの最低気温は？
9月1日のトロントの最低気温は？
18°C 49%
21℃ 49%
23°C 49%
24°C以上 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
14°C以下
7%
15°C
19%
16°C
14%
17℃
25%
18°C
49%
19℃
26%
20°C
26%
21℃
49%
22℃
25%
23°C
49%
24°C以上
49%
18°C 49%
21℃ 49%
23°C 49%
24°C以上 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
14°C以下
$5 Vol.
7%
15°C
$5 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
14%
17℃
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19℃
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21℃
$0 Vol.
49%
22℃
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C以上
$5 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spreads and limited overnight radiative cooling under cloudy, humid conditions with possible showers are keeping the lowest temperature on September 1 in Toronto uncertain within a narrow band around 17–22 °C.** Official Environment Canada guidance and recent model runs indicate a mild southerly flow supporting daytime highs near 28–29 °C, while nocturnal lows depend on the timing of any precipitation, cloud cover, and light winds that reduce cooling. Historical climatology shows a September 1 average low of 16.1 °C, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern with elevated dew points limiting temperature drops. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 17–22 °C outcomes reflects this genuine short-range forecast uncertainty, with new model updates and official briefings expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spreads and limited overnight radiative cooling under cloudy, humid conditions with possible showers are keeping the lowest temperature on September 1 in Toronto uncertain within a narrow band around 17–22 °C.** Official Environment Canada guidance and recent model runs indicate a mild southerly flow supporting daytime highs near 28–29 °C, while nocturnal lows depend on the timing of any precipitation, cloud cover, and light winds that reduce cooling. Historical climatology shows a September 1 average low of 16.1 °C, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern with elevated dew points limiting temperature drops. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 17–22 °C outcomes reflects this genuine short-range forecast uncertainty, with new model updates and official briefings expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ET**Forecast model spreads and limited overnight radiative cooling under cloudy, humid conditions with possible showers are keeping the lowest temperature on September 1 in Toronto uncertain within a narrow band around 17–22 °C.** Official Environment Canada guidance and recent model runs indicate a mild southerly flow supporting daytime highs near 28–29 °C, while nocturnal lows depend on the timing of any precipitation, cloud cover, and light winds that reduce cooling. Historical climatology shows a September 1 average low of 16.1 °C, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern with elevated dew points limiting temperature drops. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 17–22 °C outcomes reflects this genuine short-range forecast uncertainty, with new model updates and official briefings expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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