Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on September 1 shows afternoon highs centered in the upper 80s to low 90s under a humid easterly flow, with 60-70% thunderstorm chances that typically cap daytime peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and the absence of a strong cold front keep the region in a typical late-summer regime, where small differences in timing or intensity of convection can shift the daily maximum by 2-3°F. This uncertainty, combined with recent August readings frequently reaching the mid-90s, concentrates trader-implied probabilities on the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins while assigning lower weight to cooler outcomes that would require more organized rain or stronger onshore flow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のマイアミの最高気温は？
9月1日のマイアミの最高気温は？
90〜91°F 55%
92〜93°F 23%
88〜89°F 14%
94〜95°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
79°F以下
<1%
80〜81°F
2%
82～83°F
2%
84～85°F
2%
86〜87°F
5%
88〜89°F
14%
90〜91°F
55%
92〜93°F
23%
94〜95°F
6%
96〜97°F
3%
98°F以上
1%
90〜91°F 55%
92〜93°F 23%
88〜89°F 14%
94〜95°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
79°F以下
$10 Vol.
<1%
80〜81°F
$101 Vol.
2%
82～83°F
$1 Vol.
2%
84～85°F
$101 Vol.
2%
86〜87°F
$28 Vol.
5%
88〜89°F
$556 Vol.
14%
90〜91°F
$376 Vol.
55%
92〜93°F
$262 Vol.
23%
94〜95°F
$52 Vol.
6%
96〜97°F
$36 Vol.
3%
98°F以上
$6 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on September 1 shows afternoon highs centered in the upper 80s to low 90s under a humid easterly flow, with 60-70% thunderstorm chances that typically cap daytime peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and the absence of a strong cold front keep the region in a typical late-summer regime, where small differences in timing or intensity of convection can shift the daily maximum by 2-3°F. This uncertainty, combined with recent August readings frequently reaching the mid-90s, concentrates trader-implied probabilities on the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins while assigning lower weight to cooler outcomes that would require more organized rain or stronger onshore flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$1,531終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on September 1 shows afternoon highs centered in the upper 80s to low 90s under a humid easterly flow, with 60-70% thunderstorm chances that typically cap daytime peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and the absence of a strong cold front keep the region in a typical late-summer regime, where small differences in timing or intensity of convection can shift the daily maximum by 2-3°F. This uncertainty, combined with recent August readings frequently reaching the mid-90s, concentrates trader-implied probabilities on the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins while assigning lower weight to cooler outcomes that would require more organized rain or stronger onshore flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,531終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on September 1 shows afternoon highs centered in the upper 80s to low 90s under a humid easterly flow, with 60-70% thunderstorm chances that typically cap daytime peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and the absence of a strong cold front keep the region in a typical late-summer regime, where small differences in timing or intensity of convection can shift the daily maximum by 2-3°F. This uncertainty, combined with recent August readings frequently reaching the mid-90s, concentrates trader-implied probabilities on the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins while assigning lower weight to cooler outcomes that would require more organized rain or stronger onshore flow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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