Recent forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models point to a maximum temperature near 25–26°C in Ankara on August 30, driven by north-northeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and residual cooling after showers on the prior day. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with typical late-August highs, keeping surface temperatures moderated despite clear intervals. Minor differences between 25°C and 26°C outcomes hinge on exact cloud fraction, boundary-layer mixing, and local topographic effects around the city, as shown in the latest ECMWF and GFS runs. With leading market-implied odds nearly even, traders are reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model consensus ahead of official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のアンカラの最高気温は?
25°C 42%
26°C 36%
24°C 11%
27°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
42%
26°C
36%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
26°C 36%
24°C 11%
27°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
42%
26°C
36%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models point to a maximum temperature near 25–26°C in Ankara on August 30, driven by north-northeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and residual cooling after showers on the prior day. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with typical late-August highs, keeping surface temperatures moderated despite clear intervals. Minor differences between 25°C and 26°C outcomes hinge on exact cloud fraction, boundary-layer mixing, and local topographic effects around the city, as shown in the latest ECMWF and GFS runs. With leading market-implied odds nearly even, traders are reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model consensus ahead of official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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