Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources, point to a high of 23–24°C in Ankara on August 29 amid increased cloud cover, 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the week, with the cooling trend driven by a shift in steering patterns and moisture advection that reduces maximum temperatures relative to seasonal norms. Model consensus supports these values as the most probable outcomes, reflected in the market-implied odds favoring 23°C at 38.5% and 24°C at 27.5%, while lower or higher extremes remain less likely given current atmospheric conditions. Updated runs from agencies will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のアンカラの最高気温は?
23°C 39%
24°C 28%
22°C 14%
25°C 11%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
39%
24°C
28%
25°C
11%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 39%
24°C 28%
22°C 14%
25°C 11%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
39%
24°C
28%
25°C
11%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources, point to a high of 23–24°C in Ankara on August 29 amid increased cloud cover, 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the week, with the cooling trend driven by a shift in steering patterns and moisture advection that reduces maximum temperatures relative to seasonal norms. Model consensus supports these values as the most probable outcomes, reflected in the market-implied odds favoring 23°C at 38.5% and 24°C at 27.5%, while lower or higher extremes remain less likely given current atmospheric conditions. Updated runs from agencies will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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