Official Met Office forecasts position a daytime maximum near 23°C for London on August 30 as the most likely outcome, supported by southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies with sunny intervals, and a modest risk of showers that limits stronger warming. Model consensus across sources clusters highs between 21–23°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where average August maxima hover near 22°C. Recent unsettled conditions with passing fronts have kept temperatures from exceeding this range, while light winds and high humidity moderate daytime peaks. Updated guidance expected overnight and early morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution, with any shift in cloud timing or precipitation the key variable that could favor 22°C or allow a brief push toward 24°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のロンドンの最高気温は?
23°C 49%
22°C 33%
24°C 10%
21°C 7%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
33%
23°C
49%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
22°C 33%
24°C 10%
21°C 7%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
33%
23°C
49%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Met Office forecasts position a daytime maximum near 23°C for London on August 30 as the most likely outcome, supported by southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies with sunny intervals, and a modest risk of showers that limits stronger warming. Model consensus across sources clusters highs between 21–23°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where average August maxima hover near 22°C. Recent unsettled conditions with passing fronts have kept temperatures from exceeding this range, while light winds and high humidity moderate daytime peaks. Updated guidance expected overnight and early morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution, with any shift in cloud timing or precipitation the key variable that could favor 22°C or allow a brief push toward 24°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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