Current forecasts for Mexico City on September 1 point to overnight lows near 13–14°C, aligning with the market’s tightest odds clustering around those levels amid the city’s rainy season. High humidity and frequent thunderstorm activity, driven by moist southerly flow and the region’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, limit radiative cooling at night while daytime heating remains moderate. Historical September minima average 10–13°C, but recent model runs show limited cold-air advection, keeping probabilities for sub-10°C outcomes subdued despite the 24.5% implied chance. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature ranges as cloud cover and precipitation timing become clearer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のメキシコシティの最低気温は?
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
8°C or below 44%
18°C or higher 41%
8°C or below
44%
9°C
19%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
29%
18°C or higher
41%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
8°C or below 44%
18°C or higher 41%
8°C or below
44%
9°C
19%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
29%
18°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Mexico City on September 1 point to overnight lows near 13–14°C, aligning with the market’s tightest odds clustering around those levels amid the city’s rainy season. High humidity and frequent thunderstorm activity, driven by moist southerly flow and the region’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, limit radiative cooling at night while daytime heating remains moderate. Historical September minima average 10–13°C, but recent model runs show limited cold-air advection, keeping probabilities for sub-10°C outcomes subdued despite the 24.5% implied chance. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature ranges as cloud cover and precipitation timing become clearer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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